TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13110339
Played Sep 10Finished
Karol Guzy
Home
1.76
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11741111131210119
Piotr Odelski
Away
1.90
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:34 and never touched — 55.1% is still 55.1%
Graded at full timePiotr Odelski to win
55.1%
55.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
99 points played in total.
Set by set
11741111131210119
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:34What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.76 (52%)
Guzy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Guzy 1698 vs Odelski 1624
Guzy
Correct
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Guzy 80% vs Odelski 100%
Odelski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Guzy 70% vs Odelski 100%
Odelski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Guzy +3 · Odelski +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Guzy) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Odelski form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuzy 1.76 / Odelski 1.90
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Guzy)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13110339
Guzy1.76
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 167 of 273
Up 2–0, closes it92% 80 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it82% 131 of 160
Odelski1.90
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
As underdog52% won 14 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back35% 6 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back22% 2 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuzyOdelskiBasisWin rate · lifetime639 / 1066 vs 40 / 6159.9%65.6%639 / 1066 vs 40 / 61Avg sets wonper match2.22.4per matchAvg pointsper match40.040.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
GuzyGuzy 1.76/Odelski 1.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.7%
Guzy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Guzy won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
K. Guzy10
WSep 10 · 15:00K. Guzy1.87411711113D. Bucko1.8311711692WSep 10 · 14:00K. Guzy1.511113115113B. Bartosz2.2991531172WSep 6 · 14:15K. Guzy1.8891111113K. Kowalewski1.82118691LSep 6 · 13:05K. Guzy1.9813811562A. Duch1.751111711113WSep 6 · 11:05K. Zapala2.60781291K. Guzy1.44111110113WSep 6 · 09:05K. Kowalewski1.8751181182K. Guzy1.83117117113LSep 6 · 08:05P. Kos2.5041111113K. Guzy1.46118821WSep 6 · 07:35K. Guzy1.701011811113M. Szymanski2.0512911892LSep 5 · 23:35K. Guzy2.061176101A. Duch1.6341111123WSep 5 · 21:05D. Bucko1.83511941K. Guzy1.8811711113
P. Odelski10
WSep 10 · 16:00K. Zapala2.608860P. Odelski1.411111113WSep 10 · 15:30P. Odelski1.5211115113B. Bartosz2.27811161WSep 7 · 22:30P. Odelski1.511111113W. Arkadiusz2.406950WSep 7 · 20:30P. Odelski1.5511911113W. Arkadiusz2.30911591WSep 7 · 18:30K. Patryk1.82411561P. Odelski1.8811611113WSep 7 · 17:30P. Odelski1.6011911113K. Kos2.11711881WSep 7 · 16:30W. Dariusz5.7549111162P. Odelski1.12111165113WSep 7 · 16:00P. Odelski1.7311711113L. Buklat1.92911831WSep 2 · 22:40P. Odelski1.591111113W. Arkadiusz2.138890WSep 2 · 20:30P. Odelski1.6414711113W. Arkadiusz2.031211781
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