TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13067544
Played Sep 2Finished
Piotr Odelski
Home
1.59
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118118119––––
Wiekiera Arkadiusz
Away
2.13
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:09 and never touched — 62.7% is still 62.7%
Graded at full timePiotr Odelski to win
62.7%
62.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
58 points played in total.
Set by set
118118119––––
H2H Piotr Odelski 6–3 Wiekiera Arkadiusz Wiekiera Arkadiusz has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:09What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.59 (57%)
Odelski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Odelski
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Odelski 1542 vs Arkadiusz 1419
Odelski
Correct
both rated, 123 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Odelski 100% vs Arkadiusz 60%
Odelski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Odelski 90% vs Arkadiusz 50%
Odelski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Odelski +5 · Arkadiusz -1
Odelski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Odelski) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Arkadiusz form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (47%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOdelski 1.59 / Arkadiusz 2.13
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Odelski)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #13067544
Odelski1.59
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 12 of 19
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Arkadiusz2.13
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog54% won 54 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back30% 14 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeOdelski6wins
AwayArkadiusz3wins
2 of 9 to a deciderOdelski leads 6–3, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOdelski100%4 of 4
AwayArkadiusz60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Odelski4Arkadiusz5n = 9Arkadiusz took 5 of 9
S2Odelski6Arkadiusz3n = 9Odelski took 6 of 9
S3Odelski7Arkadiusz2n = 9Odelski took 7 of 9
S4Odelski2Arkadiusz5n = 7Arkadiusz took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricOdelskiArkadiuszO − ABasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match39.436.2+3.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOdelskiArkadiuszBasisWin rate · lifetime31 / 52 vs 559 / 99759.6%56.1%31 / 52 vs 559 / 997Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match41.241.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OdelskiOdelski 1.59/Arkadiusz 2.13
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Odelski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Odelski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 2 · 20:30P. Odelski—14711113W. Arkadiusz—1211781
WAug 31 · 17:30P. Odelski—1111113W. Arkadiusz—4750
WAug 26 · 17:30P. Odelski—101112113W. Arkadiusz—1251081
WAug 25 · 14:00P. Odelski—1111113W. Arkadiusz—5950
LAug 24 · 18:30P. Odelski—1011861W. Arkadiusz—12911113
WAug 17 · 22:10P. Odelski—111168113W. Arkadiusz—97111172
LAug 17 · 14:30P. Odelski—1081171W. Arkadiusz—12119113
WAug 11 · 12:30P. Odelski—911115113W. Arkadiusz—11671182
LAug 11 · 09:30P. Odelski—6121181W. Arkadiusz—11148113
P. Odelski10
WSep 7 · 16:30W. Dariusz5.7549111162P. Odelski1.12111165113WSep 7 · 16:00P. Odelski1.7311711113L. Buklat1.92911831WSep 2 · 20:30P. Odelski1.6414711113W. Arkadiusz2.031211781WSep 2 · 18:30P. Kamil2.25671171P. Odelski1.5811118113WSep 2 · 17:30P. Odelski2.00891112113K. Patryk1.72111191032WSep 2 · 16:30J. Komorowicz2.22811651P. Odelski1.5411811113WSep 2 · 16:00P. Odelski1.7711118143L. Buklat1.938611121WAug 31 · 22:40P. Odelski1.758111111113P. Kamil1.9811135892LAug 31 · 20:30P. Odelski2.15671141K. Patryk1.6211116113WAug 31 · 18:30P. Kamil1.98591161P. Odelski1.7511119113
W. Arkadiusz10
WSep 7 · 15:30L. Buklat1.8369100W. Arkadiusz1.831111123LSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk1.601091711113W. Arkadiusz2.10121115892LSep 2 · 20:30P. Odelski1.6414711113W. Arkadiusz2.031211781WSep 2 · 19:30K. Patryk1.5781170W. Arkadiusz2.171113113WSep 2 · 18:00J. Komorowicz2.5512811982W. Arkadiusz1.421011911113WSep 2 · 15:30L. Buklat1.886811111W. Arkadiusz1.8211119133LSep 2 · 14:00P. Kamil1.9016911113W. Arkadiusz1.801411471LSep 1 · 22:00W. Arkadiusz1.8511119582P. Kamil1.85791111113WSep 1 · 20:30P. Kamil1.7358100W. Arkadiusz1.981111123LSep 1 · 19:30K. Patryk1.47119611123W. Arkadiusz2.50511112102
Upcoming Matches
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W. Arkadiusz
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