TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13066668
Played Sep 2Finished
Kiejda Patryk
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8111113711––––
Wiekiera Arkadiusz
Away
2.17
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:31 and never touched — 59.6% is still 59.6%
Graded at full timeKiejda Patryk to win
59.6%
59.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
61 points played in total.
Set by set
8111113711––––
H2H Kiejda Patryk 26–21 Wiekiera Arkadiusz Wiekiera Arkadiusz has won 21 of their 47 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:31What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (58%)
Patryk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-21 in 47
Patryk
Wrong
gap of 5 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Patryk 1480 vs Arkadiusz 1411
Patryk
Wrong
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Patryk 40% vs Arkadiusz 60%
Arkadiusz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Patryk 50% vs Arkadiusz 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Patryk -1 · Arkadiusz +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Patryk) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Arkadiusz form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (46%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPatryk 1.57 / Arkadiusz 2.17
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Patryk)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13066668
Patryk1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 92 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it95% 52 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it79% 72 of 91
Arkadiusz2.17
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog54% won 54 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back30% 14 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePatryk6wins
AwayArkadiusz4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPatryk leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePatryk50%3 of 6
AwayArkadiusz25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Patryk6Arkadiusz4n = 10Patryk took 6 of 10
S2Patryk5Arkadiusz5n = 10split evenly
S3Patryk5Arkadiusz5n = 10split evenly
S4Patryk4Arkadiusz4n = 8split evenly
S5Patryk3Arkadiusz1n = 4Patryk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPatrykArkadiuszP − ABasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.238.3+3.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPatrykArkadiuszBasisWin rate · lifetime173 / 304 vs 558 / 99556.9%56.1%173 / 304 vs 558 / 995Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.741.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PatrykPatryk 1.57/Arkadiusz 2.17
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.8%
Patryk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Arkadiusz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 19:30K. Patryk—119611123W. Arkadiusz—511112102
LAug 31 · 19:30K. Patryk—11991172W. Arkadiusz—611114113
WAug 30 · 09:05K. Patryk—1215113W. Arkadiusz—101370
LAug 26 · 15:00K. Patryk—8101181W. Arkadiusz—11129113
WAug 25 · 18:00K. Patryk—1111113W. Arkadiusz—7990
WAug 24 · 14:00K. Patryk—10111110113W. Arkadiusz—12881232
WAug 22 · 07:05K. Patryk—111111113W. Arkadiusz—133971
LAug 17 · 21:00K. Patryk—146981W. Arkadiusz—121111113
WAug 11 · 06:00K. Patryk—1011411113W. Arkadiusz—12511772
LAug 10 · 16:00K. Patryk—1197101W. Arkadiusz—71111123
K. Patryk10
LSep 7 · 15:00K. Patryk1.50614551K. Kos2.30111211113WSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk1.601091711113W. Arkadiusz2.10121115892WSep 2 · 22:10L. Buklat2.1599110K. Patryk1.611111133LSep 2 · 21:00L. Buklat2.1581311133K. Patryk1.5811116111LSep 2 · 17:30P. Odelski2.00891112113K. Patryk1.72111191032WSep 2 · 15:00P. Kamil2.20471231K. Patryk1.58111110113WSep 2 · 14:30J. Komorowicz2.9512116542K. Patryk1.361091111113LSep 1 · 22:30J. Komorowicz3.30811126133K. Patryk1.291191011112LSep 1 · 21:00J. Komorowicz2.901111133K. Patryk1.3399110WSep 1 · 19:30K. Patryk1.47119611123W. Arkadiusz2.50511112102
W. Arkadiusz10
WSep 7 · 15:30L. Buklat1.8369100W. Arkadiusz1.831111123LSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk1.601091711113W. Arkadiusz2.10121115892LSep 2 · 22:40P. Odelski1.591111113W. Arkadiusz2.138890LSep 2 · 20:30P. Odelski1.6414711113W. Arkadiusz2.031211781WSep 2 · 18:00J. Komorowicz2.5512811982W. Arkadiusz1.421011911113WSep 2 · 15:30L. Buklat1.886811111W. Arkadiusz1.8211119133LSep 2 · 14:00P. Kamil1.9016911113W. Arkadiusz1.801411471LSep 1 · 22:00W. Arkadiusz1.8511119582P. Kamil1.85791111113WSep 1 · 20:30P. Kamil1.7358100W. Arkadiusz1.981111123LSep 1 · 19:30K. Patryk1.47119611123W. Arkadiusz2.50511112102
Upcoming Matches
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W. Arkadiusz
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