TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13062959
Played Sep 2Finished
Jakub Komorowicz
Home
2.95
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210119611511411
Kiejda Patryk
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:28 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeKiejda Patryk to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
1210119611511411
H2H Jakub Komorowicz 16–28 Kiejda Patryk Jakub Komorowicz has won 16 of their 44 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:28What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (68%)
Patryk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-28 in 44
Patryk
Correct
gap of 12 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Komorowicz 1377 vs Patryk 1473
Patryk
Correct
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Komorowicz 60% vs Patryk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Komorowicz 50% vs Patryk 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Komorowicz +2 · Patryk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Patryk) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Patryk form (60%) is below what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKomorowicz 2.95 / Patryk 1.36
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Patryk)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13062959
Komorowicz2.95
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 84 of 200
Down 0–1, comes back22% 25 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 58
Patryk1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 92 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it95% 52 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it79% 72 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKomorowicz4wins
AwayPatryk6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPatryk leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKomorowicz50%2 of 4
AwayPatryk66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Komorowicz4Patryk6n = 10Patryk took 6 of 10
S2Komorowicz5Patryk5n = 10split evenly
S3Komorowicz4Patryk6n = 10Patryk took 6 of 10
S4Komorowicz1Patryk7n = 8Patryk took 7 of 8
S5Komorowicz3Patryk0n = 3Komorowicz took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKomorowiczPatrykK − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.842.7−3.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKomorowiczPatrykBasisWin rate · lifetime219 / 478 vs 171 / 30145.8%56.8%219 / 478 vs 171 / 301Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.739.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PatrykKomorowicz 2.95/Patryk 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.6%
Patryk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Patryk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 22:30J. Komorowicz—811126133K. Patryk—1191011112
WSep 1 · 21:00J. Komorowicz—1111133K. Patryk—99110
LAug 31 · 15:30J. Komorowicz—811941K. Patryk—11711113
WAug 26 · 14:00J. Komorowicz—9101111113K. Patryk—11127992
LAug 25 · 14:30J. Komorowicz—511391K. Patryk—11711113
LAug 24 · 19:30J. Komorowicz—1161061K. Patryk—71112113
WAug 22 · 14:45J. Komorowicz—1117712173K. Patryk—7151114152
LAug 22 · 06:05J. Komorowicz—1156111K. Patryk—81111133
LAug 18 · 14:00J. Komorowicz—991161K. Patryk—11116113
LAug 17 · 15:00J. Komorowicz—9890K. Patryk—1111113
J. Komorowicz10
WSep 2 · 21:40P. Kamil1.6311811892J. Komorowicz2.15811811113LSep 2 · 20:00P. Kamil1.78111110113J. Komorowicz1.91671291LSep 2 · 19:00J. Komorowicz2.439111041L. Buklat1.4511912113LSep 2 · 18:00J. Komorowicz2.5512811982W. Arkadiusz1.421011911113LSep 2 · 16:30J. Komorowicz2.22811651P. Odelski1.5411811113WSep 1 · 22:30J. Komorowicz3.30811126133K. Patryk1.291191011112WSep 1 · 21:00J. Komorowicz2.901111133K. Patryk1.3399110LSep 1 · 19:00K. Kos1.611111123J. Komorowicz2.0985100LSep 1 · 17:00F. Baranski2.11711116113J. Komorowicz1.6011991182WSep 1 · 16:00P. Kamil1.856111111112J. Komorowicz1.85117613133
K. Patryk10
LSep 7 · 15:00K. Patryk1.50614551K. Kos2.30111211113WSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk1.601091711113W. Arkadiusz2.10121115892WSep 2 · 22:10L. Buklat2.1599110K. Patryk1.611111133LSep 2 · 21:00L. Buklat2.1581311133K. Patryk1.5811116111LSep 2 · 19:30K. Patryk1.5781170W. Arkadiusz2.171113113LSep 2 · 17:30P. Odelski2.00891112113K. Patryk1.72111191032WSep 2 · 15:00P. Kamil2.20471231K. Patryk1.58111110113LSep 1 · 22:30J. Komorowicz3.30811126133K. Patryk1.291191011112LSep 1 · 21:00J. Komorowicz2.901111133K. Patryk1.3399110WSep 1 · 19:30K. Patryk1.47119611123W. Arkadiusz2.50511112102
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