TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13060015
Played Sep 1Finished
Kamil Kos
Home
1.61
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181151210––––
Jakub Komorowicz
Away
2.09
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Komorowicz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
1181151210––––
H2H Kamil Kos 17–17 Jakub Komorowicz Dead even across their 34 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:24What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (56%)
Kos
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-17 in 34
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kos 1416 vs Komorowicz 1354
Kos
Correct
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kos 40% vs Komorowicz 60%
Komorowicz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kos 40% vs Komorowicz 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kos -2 · Komorowicz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kos) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Komorowicz form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKos 1.61 / Komorowicz 2.09
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Kos)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13060015
Kos1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite51% won 47 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it87% 34 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it66% 42 of 64
Komorowicz2.09
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 80 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back21% 24 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKos5wins
AwayKomorowicz5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKos66.7%4 of 6
AwayKomorowicz75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kos6Komorowicz4n = 10Kos took 6 of 10
S2Kos7Komorowicz3n = 10Kos took 7 of 10
S3Kos6Komorowicz4n = 10Kos took 6 of 10
S4Kos3Komorowicz4n = 7Komorowicz took 4 of 7
S5Kos1Komorowicz3n = 4Komorowicz took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosKomorowiczKos − KomorowiczBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.238.1+3.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosKomorowiczBasisWin rate · lifetime143 / 292 vs 217 / 47549%45.7%143 / 292 vs 217 / 475Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.139.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosKos 1.61/Komorowicz 2.09
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.9%
Kos · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 21:00K. Kos—1111113J. Komorowicz—8680
WAug 24 · 14:30K. Kos—1111113J. Komorowicz—7770
LAug 22 · 12:35K. Kos—9101131J. Komorowicz—11126113
WAug 18 · 19:30K. Kos—141112113J. Komorowicz—1241491
LAug 17 · 21:40K. Kos—7119101J. Komorowicz—11711123
WAug 17 · 20:30K. Kos—1111163J. Komorowicz—44140
LAug 7 · 06:30K. Kos—12841182J. Komorowicz—1011119113
WAug 3 · 21:40K. Kos—511911113J. Komorowicz—11511692
LAug 3 · 17:30K. Kos—811119102J. Komorowicz—117711123
LJul 28 · 20:00K. Kos—148111082J. Komorowicz—1211812113
K. Kos10
WSep 7 · 15:00K. Patryk1.50614551K. Kos2.30111211113WSep 7 · 14:30W. Dariusz1.809712101K. Kos1.91111110123LSep 1 · 21:30F. Baranski1.59114711123K. Kos2.24711116102LSep 1 · 20:00F. Baranski2.85138119113K. Kos1.33111151182LSep 1 · 18:00K. Kos1.6471111882W. Arkadiusz2.04118511113LSep 1 · 16:30K. Kos1.71641471P. Kamil2.00111112113WSep 1 · 14:30K. Kos2.1712119123K. Patryk1.5710811101WAug 30 · 13:35P. Kamil—3570K. Kos—1111113LAug 30 · 13:05W. Arkadiusz1.7981411113K. Kos1.841112661LAug 30 · 11:35K. Kos1.80971151L. Buklat1.9011118113
J. Komorowicz10
WSep 2 · 21:40P. Kamil1.6311811892J. Komorowicz2.15811811113LSep 2 · 20:00P. Kamil1.78111110113J. Komorowicz1.91671291LSep 2 · 19:00J. Komorowicz2.439111041L. Buklat1.4511912113LSep 2 · 18:00J. Komorowicz2.5512811982W. Arkadiusz1.421011911113LSep 2 · 16:30J. Komorowicz2.22811651P. Odelski1.5411811113LSep 2 · 14:30J. Komorowicz2.9512116542K. Patryk1.361091111113WSep 1 · 22:30J. Komorowicz3.30811126133K. Patryk1.291191011112WSep 1 · 21:00J. Komorowicz2.901111133K. Patryk1.3399110LSep 1 · 17:00F. Baranski2.11711116113J. Komorowicz1.6011991182WSep 1 · 16:00P. Kamil1.856111111112J. Komorowicz1.85117613133
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