TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13066667
Played Sep 2Finished
Pasek Kamil
Home
1.78
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161171012119––
Jakub Komorowicz
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePasek Kamil to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
1161171012119––
H2H Pasek Kamil 19–12 Jakub Komorowicz Jakub Komorowicz has won 12 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:31What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.78 (52%)
Kamil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-12 in 31
Kamil
Correct
gap of 7 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kamil 1384 vs Komorowicz 1344
Kamil
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kamil 40% vs Komorowicz 20%
Kamil
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kamil 40% vs Komorowicz 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kamil -3 · Komorowicz -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kamil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Komorowicz form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKamil 1.78 / Komorowicz 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kamil)+2.3pp
TT Cup · #13066667
Kamil1.78
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 23 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it75% 15 of 20
Komorowicz1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 84 of 200
Down 0–1, comes back22% 25 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKamil6wins
AwayKomorowicz4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKamil leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKamil83.3%5 of 6
AwayKomorowicz75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kamil6Komorowicz4n = 10Kamil took 6 of 10
S2Kamil6Komorowicz4n = 10Kamil took 6 of 10
S3Kamil7Komorowicz3n = 10Kamil took 7 of 10
S4Kamil2Komorowicz6n = 8Komorowicz took 6 of 8
S5Kamil3Komorowicz2n = 5Kamil took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKamilKomorowiczKamil − KomorowiczBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.238.9+3.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKamilKomorowiczBasisWin rate · lifetime119 / 212 vs 219 / 48256.1%45.4%119 / 212 vs 219 / 482Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.739.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KamilKamil 1.78/Komorowicz 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kamil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kamil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 16:00P. Kamil—6111111112J. Komorowicz—117613133
WAug 31 · 17:00P. Kamil—1111113J. Komorowicz—9370
WAug 15 · 23:35P. Kamil—81111163J. Komorowicz—1177141
LAug 15 · 16:05P. Kamil—11511592J. Komorowicz—811911113
LAug 14 · 20:00P. Kamil—711791J. Komorowicz—11411113
LAug 11 · 13:00P. Kamil—1091141J. Komorowicz—12117113
WAug 11 · 06:30P. Kamil—119611133J. Komorowicz—811115112
WAug 4 · 14:00P. Kamil—111279113J. Komorowicz—810111162
WAug 3 · 14:30P. Kamil—1111113J. Komorowicz—3680
WJul 28 · 21:30P. Kamil—119119113J. Komorowicz—51181192
P. Kamil10
LSep 2 · 21:40P. Kamil1.6311811892J. Komorowicz2.15811811113LSep 2 · 18:30P. Kamil2.25671171P. Odelski1.5811118113LSep 2 · 17:00P. Kamil1.80119661L. Buklat1.9161111113LSep 2 · 15:00P. Kamil2.20471231K. Patryk1.58111110113WSep 2 · 14:00P. Kamil1.9016911113W. Arkadiusz1.801411471WSep 1 · 22:00W. Arkadiusz1.8511119582P. Kamil1.85791111113LSep 1 · 20:30P. Kamil1.7358100W. Arkadiusz1.981111123WSep 1 · 18:30F. Baranski—61111562P. Kamil—114911113LSep 1 · 17:30P. Kamil2.107580K. Patryk1.651111113WSep 1 · 16:30K. Kos1.71641471P. Kamil2.00111112113
J. Komorowicz10
WSep 2 · 21:40P. Kamil1.6311811892J. Komorowicz2.15811811113LSep 2 · 19:00J. Komorowicz2.439111041L. Buklat1.4511912113LSep 2 · 18:00J. Komorowicz2.5512811982W. Arkadiusz1.421011911113LSep 2 · 16:30J. Komorowicz2.22811651P. Odelski1.5411811113LSep 2 · 14:30J. Komorowicz2.9512116542K. Patryk1.361091111113WSep 1 · 22:30J. Komorowicz3.30811126133K. Patryk1.291191011112WSep 1 · 21:00J. Komorowicz2.901111133K. Patryk1.3399110LSep 1 · 19:00K. Kos1.611111123J. Komorowicz2.0985100LSep 1 · 17:00F. Baranski2.11711116113J. Komorowicz1.6011991182WSep 1 · 16:00P. Kamil1.856111111112J. Komorowicz1.85117613133
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