TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13066194
Played Sep 2Finished
Jakub Komorowicz
Home
2.55
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210811119911811
Wiekiera Arkadiusz
Away
1.42
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:07 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeWiekiera Arkadiusz to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
100 points played in total.
Set by set
1210811119911811
H2H Jakub Komorowicz 31–47 Wiekiera Arkadiusz Jakub Komorowicz has won 31 of their 78 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:07What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.42 (64%)
Arkadiusz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-47 in 78
Arkadiusz
Correct
gap of 16 in 78, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Komorowicz 1369 vs Arkadiusz 1401
Arkadiusz
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Komorowicz 40% vs Arkadiusz 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Komorowicz 50% vs Arkadiusz 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Komorowicz -1 · Arkadiusz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Arkadiusz) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Arkadiusz form (40%) is below what odds imply (70%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKomorowicz 2.55 / Arkadiusz 1.42
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Arkadiusz)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13066194
Komorowicz2.55
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 84 of 200
Down 0–1, comes back22% 25 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 58
Arkadiusz1.42
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 130 of 239
Up 2–0, closes it91% 52 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it71% 91 of 128
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKomorowicz4wins
AwayArkadiusz6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderArkadiusz leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKomorowicz42.9%3 of 7
AwayArkadiusz66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Komorowicz7Arkadiusz3n = 10Komorowicz took 7 of 10
S2Komorowicz4Arkadiusz6n = 10Arkadiusz took 6 of 10
S3Komorowicz3Arkadiusz7n = 10Arkadiusz took 7 of 10
S4Komorowicz6Arkadiusz4n = 10Komorowicz took 6 of 10
S5Komorowicz2Arkadiusz4n = 6Arkadiusz took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKomorowiczArkadiuszK − ABasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match46.048.2−2.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKomorowiczArkadiuszBasisWin rate · lifetime219 / 479 vs 557 / 99445.7%56%219 / 479 vs 557 / 994Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.741.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ArkadiuszKomorowicz 2.55/Arkadiusz 1.42
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.4%
Arkadiusz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Arkadiusz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 15:30J. Komorowicz—13116123W. Arkadiusz—11611101
WAug 31 · 21:40J. Komorowicz—91113113W. Arkadiusz—1131181
LAug 31 · 21:00J. Komorowicz—116117112W. Arkadiusz—911711133
WAug 26 · 19:30J. Komorowicz—1111113123W. Arkadiusz—991311102
LAug 25 · 19:30J. Komorowicz—67151262W. Arkadiusz—11111310113
LAug 24 · 15:00J. Komorowicz—1123911102W. Arkadiusz—925113123
WAug 22 · 11:35J. Komorowicz—115611123W. Arkadiusz—911118102
LAug 17 · 17:30J. Komorowicz—61291192W. Arkadiusz—1110118113
LAug 14 · 22:40J. Komorowicz—1375131W. Arkadiusz—111111153
LAug 14 · 18:00J. Komorowicz—11811101W. Arkadiusz—81113123
J. Komorowicz10
WSep 2 · 21:40P. Kamil1.6311811892J. Komorowicz2.15811811113LSep 2 · 20:00P. Kamil1.78111110113J. Komorowicz1.91671291LSep 2 · 19:00J. Komorowicz2.439111041L. Buklat1.4511912113LSep 2 · 16:30J. Komorowicz2.22811651P. Odelski1.5411811113LSep 2 · 14:30J. Komorowicz2.9512116542K. Patryk1.361091111113WSep 1 · 22:30J. Komorowicz3.30811126133K. Patryk1.291191011112WSep 1 · 21:00J. Komorowicz2.901111133K. Patryk1.3399110LSep 1 · 19:00K. Kos1.611111123J. Komorowicz2.0985100LSep 1 · 17:00F. Baranski2.11711116113J. Komorowicz1.6011991182WSep 1 · 16:00P. Kamil1.856111111112J. Komorowicz1.85117613133
W. Arkadiusz10
WSep 7 · 15:30L. Buklat1.8369100W. Arkadiusz1.831111123LSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk1.601091711113W. Arkadiusz2.10121115892LSep 2 · 22:40P. Odelski1.591111113W. Arkadiusz2.138890LSep 2 · 20:30P. Odelski1.6414711113W. Arkadiusz2.031211781WSep 2 · 19:30K. Patryk1.5781170W. Arkadiusz2.171113113WSep 2 · 15:30L. Buklat1.886811111W. Arkadiusz1.8211119133LSep 2 · 14:00P. Kamil1.9016911113W. Arkadiusz1.801411471LSep 1 · 22:00W. Arkadiusz1.8511119582P. Kamil1.85791111113WSep 1 · 20:30P. Kamil1.7358100W. Arkadiusz1.981111123LSep 1 · 19:30K. Patryk1.47119611123W. Arkadiusz2.50511112102
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