TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13060095
Played Sep 1Finished
Kiejda Patryk
Home
1.47
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1159116111121210
Wiekiera Arkadiusz
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKiejda Patryk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
88 points played in total.
Set by set
1159116111121210
H2H Kiejda Patryk 25–21 Wiekiera Arkadiusz Wiekiera Arkadiusz has won 21 of their 46 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:54What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.47 (63%)
Patryk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-21 in 46
Patryk
Correct
gap of 4 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Patryk 1500 vs Arkadiusz 1404
Patryk
Correct
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Patryk 60% vs Arkadiusz 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Patryk 60% vs Arkadiusz 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Patryk +2 · Arkadiusz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Patryk) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Arkadiusz form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPatryk 1.47 / Arkadiusz 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Patryk)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13060095
Patryk1.47
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 90 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it94% 51 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it80% 70 of 88
Arkadiusz2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog54% won 53 of 98
Down 0–1, comes back30% 14 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePatryk6wins
AwayArkadiusz4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPatryk leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePatryk40%2 of 5
AwayArkadiusz20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Patryk5Arkadiusz5n = 10split evenly
S2Patryk6Arkadiusz4n = 10Patryk took 6 of 10
S3Patryk6Arkadiusz4n = 10Patryk took 6 of 10
S4Patryk4Arkadiusz4n = 8split evenly
S5Patryk2Arkadiusz1n = 3Patryk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPatrykArkadiuszP − ABasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.537.0+4.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPatrykArkadiuszBasisWin rate · lifetime170 / 298 vs 557 / 99457.1%56%170 / 298 vs 557 / 994Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.641.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PatrykPatryk 1.47/Arkadiusz 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.2%
Patryk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Patryk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 19:30K. Patryk—11991172W. Arkadiusz—611114113
WAug 30 · 09:05K. Patryk—1215113W. Arkadiusz—101370
LAug 26 · 15:00K. Patryk—8101181W. Arkadiusz—11129113
WAug 25 · 18:00K. Patryk—1111113W. Arkadiusz—7990
WAug 24 · 14:00K. Patryk—10111110113W. Arkadiusz—12881232
WAug 22 · 07:05K. Patryk—111111113W. Arkadiusz—133971
LAug 17 · 21:00K. Patryk—146981W. Arkadiusz—121111113
WAug 11 · 06:00K. Patryk—1011411113W. Arkadiusz—12511772
LAug 10 · 16:00K. Patryk—1197101W. Arkadiusz—71111123
WAug 9 · 19:35K. Patryk—91111113W. Arkadiusz—116271
K. Patryk10
LSep 7 · 15:00K. Patryk1.50614551K. Kos2.30111211113WSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk1.601091711113W. Arkadiusz2.10121115892WSep 2 · 22:10L. Buklat2.1599110K. Patryk1.611111133LSep 2 · 21:00L. Buklat2.1581311133K. Patryk1.5811116111LSep 2 · 19:30K. Patryk1.5781170W. Arkadiusz2.171113113LSep 2 · 17:30P. Odelski2.00891112113K. Patryk1.72111191032WSep 2 · 15:00P. Kamil2.20471231K. Patryk1.58111110113WSep 2 · 14:30J. Komorowicz2.9512116542K. Patryk1.361091111113LSep 1 · 22:30J. Komorowicz3.30811126133K. Patryk1.291191011112LSep 1 · 21:00J. Komorowicz2.901111133K. Patryk1.3399110
W. Arkadiusz10
WSep 7 · 15:30L. Buklat1.8369100W. Arkadiusz1.831111123LSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk1.601091711113W. Arkadiusz2.10121115892LSep 2 · 22:40P. Odelski1.591111113W. Arkadiusz2.138890LSep 2 · 20:30P. Odelski1.6414711113W. Arkadiusz2.031211781WSep 2 · 19:30K. Patryk1.5781170W. Arkadiusz2.171113113WSep 2 · 18:00J. Komorowicz2.5512811982W. Arkadiusz1.421011911113WSep 2 · 15:30L. Buklat1.886811111W. Arkadiusz1.8211119133LSep 2 · 14:00P. Kamil1.9016911113W. Arkadiusz1.801411471LSep 1 · 22:00W. Arkadiusz1.8511119582P. Kamil1.85791111113WSep 1 · 20:30P. Kamil1.7358100W. Arkadiusz1.981111123
Upcoming Matches
K. Patryk1 of 2 neutral
W. Arkadiusz
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.