TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13093365
Played Sep 7Finished
Kiejda Patryk
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111412511511––
Kamil Kos
Away
2.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:48 and never touched — 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeKiejda Patryk to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
6111412511511––
H2H Kiejda Patryk 17–14 Kamil Kos Kamil Kos has won 14 of their 31 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:48What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (61%)
Patryk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-14 in 31
Patryk
Wrong
gap of 3 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Patryk 1474 vs Kos 1409
Patryk
Wrong
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Patryk 40% vs Kos 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Patryk 50% vs Kos 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Patryk +2 · Kos +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Patryk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Patryk form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPatryk 1.50 / Kos 2.30
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Patryk)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13093365
Patryk1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 95 of 159
Up 2–0, closes it93% 54 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it78% 74 of 95
Kos2.30
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 32 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back27% 8 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back15% 2 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePatryk5wins
AwayKos5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePatryk66.7%2 of 3
AwayKos57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Patryk3Kos7n = 10Kos took 7 of 10
S2Patryk5Kos5n = 10split evenly
S3Patryk6Kos4n = 10Patryk took 6 of 10
S4Patryk2Kos5n = 7Kos took 5 of 7
S5Patryk3Kos1n = 4Patryk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPatrykKosP − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.939.4−0.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPatrykKosBasisWin rate · lifetime175 / 308 vs 143 / 29056.8%49.3%175 / 308 vs 143 / 290Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.740.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PatrykPatryk 1.50/Kos 2.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.3%
Patryk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 14:30K. Patryk—10811101K. Kos—12119123
LAug 30 · 07:05K. Patryk—71113382K. Kos—1161111113
LAug 25 · 19:00K. Patryk—1177111K. Kos—61111133
WAug 24 · 18:00K. Patryk—1112109113K. Kos—610121192
WAug 22 · 10:35K. Patryk—911119113K. Kos—11561192
LAug 18 · 22:30K. Patryk—61050K. Kos—1112113
WAug 18 · 15:00K. Patryk—91212113K. Kos—11101091
WAug 17 · 16:00K. Patryk—1111113K. Kos—5590
LAug 10 · 21:40K. Patryk—46120K. Kos—1111143
WAug 10 · 17:00K. Patryk—871111113K. Kos—11117562
K. Patryk10
WSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk1.601091711113W. Arkadiusz2.10121115892WSep 2 · 22:10L. Buklat2.1599110K. Patryk1.611111133LSep 2 · 21:00L. Buklat2.1581311133K. Patryk1.5811116111LSep 2 · 19:30K. Patryk1.5781170W. Arkadiusz2.171113113LSep 2 · 17:30P. Odelski2.00891112113K. Patryk1.72111191032WSep 2 · 15:00P. Kamil2.20471231K. Patryk1.58111110113WSep 2 · 14:30J. Komorowicz2.9512116542K. Patryk1.361091111113LSep 1 · 22:30J. Komorowicz3.30811126133K. Patryk1.291191011112LSep 1 · 21:00J. Komorowicz2.901111133K. Patryk1.3399110WSep 1 · 19:30K. Patryk1.47119611123W. Arkadiusz2.50511112102
K. Kos10
WSep 7 · 14:30W. Dariusz1.809712101K. Kos1.91111110123LSep 1 · 21:30F. Baranski1.59114711123K. Kos2.24711116102LSep 1 · 20:00F. Baranski2.85138119113K. Kos1.33111151182WSep 1 · 19:00K. Kos1.611111123J. Komorowicz2.0985100LSep 1 · 18:00K. Kos1.6471111882W. Arkadiusz2.04118511113LSep 1 · 16:30K. Kos1.71641471P. Kamil2.00111112113WSep 1 · 14:30K. Kos2.1712119123K. Patryk1.5710811101WAug 30 · 13:35P. Kamil—3570K. Kos—1111113LAug 30 · 13:05W. Arkadiusz1.7981411113K. Kos1.841112661LAug 30 · 11:35K. Kos1.80971151L. Buklat1.9011118113
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