TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13060466
Played Sep 1Finished
Jakub Komorowicz
Home
2.90
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191191311––––
Kiejda Patryk
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:25 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeKiejda Patryk to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
64 points played in total.
Set by set
1191191311––––
H2H Jakub Komorowicz 14–28 Kiejda Patryk Jakub Komorowicz has won 14 of their 42 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:25What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (69%)
Patryk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-28 in 42
Patryk
Wrong
gap of 14 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Komorowicz 1343 vs Patryk 1508
Patryk
Wrong
both rated, 165 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Komorowicz 60% vs Patryk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Komorowicz 30% vs Patryk 60%
Patryk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Komorowicz -2 · Patryk +3
Patryk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Patryk) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Patryk form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKomorowicz 2.90 / Patryk 1.33
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Patryk)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13060466
Komorowicz2.90
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 80 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back21% 24 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 57
Patryk1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 90 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it94% 51 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it80% 70 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKomorowicz3wins
AwayPatryk7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPatryk leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKomorowicz50%2 of 4
AwayPatryk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Komorowicz4Patryk6n = 10Patryk took 6 of 10
S2Komorowicz3Patryk7n = 10Patryk took 7 of 10
S3Komorowicz3Patryk7n = 10Patryk took 7 of 10
S4Komorowicz2Patryk6n = 8Patryk took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKomorowiczPatrykK − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.941.4−4.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKomorowiczPatrykBasisWin rate · lifetime217 / 476 vs 171 / 29945.6%57.2%217 / 476 vs 171 / 299Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.739.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PatrykKomorowicz 2.90/Patryk 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73%
Patryk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Komorowicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 15:30J. Komorowicz—811941K. Patryk—11711113
WAug 26 · 14:00J. Komorowicz—9101111113K. Patryk—11127992
LAug 25 · 14:30J. Komorowicz—511391K. Patryk—11711113
LAug 24 · 19:30J. Komorowicz—1161061K. Patryk—71112113
WAug 22 · 14:45J. Komorowicz—1117712173K. Patryk—7151114152
LAug 22 · 06:05J. Komorowicz—1156111K. Patryk—81111133
LAug 18 · 14:00J. Komorowicz—991161K. Patryk—11116113
LAug 17 · 15:00J. Komorowicz—9890K. Patryk—1111113
WAug 15 · 21:05J. Komorowicz—121011113K. Patryk—1012491
LAug 11 · 12:00J. Komorowicz—7690K. Patryk—1111113
J. Komorowicz10
WSep 2 · 21:40P. Kamil1.6311811892J. Komorowicz2.15811811113LSep 2 · 20:00P. Kamil1.78111110113J. Komorowicz1.91671291LSep 2 · 19:00J. Komorowicz2.439111041L. Buklat1.4511912113LSep 2 · 18:00J. Komorowicz2.5512811982W. Arkadiusz1.421011911113LSep 2 · 16:30J. Komorowicz2.22811651P. Odelski1.5411811113LSep 2 · 14:30J. Komorowicz2.9512116542K. Patryk1.361091111113WSep 1 · 22:30J. Komorowicz3.30811126133K. Patryk1.291191011112LSep 1 · 19:00K. Kos1.611111123J. Komorowicz2.0985100LSep 1 · 17:00F. Baranski2.11711116113J. Komorowicz1.6011991182WSep 1 · 16:00P. Kamil1.856111111112J. Komorowicz1.85117613133
K. Patryk10
LSep 7 · 15:00K. Patryk1.50614551K. Kos2.30111211113WSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk1.601091711113W. Arkadiusz2.10121115892WSep 2 · 22:10L. Buklat2.1599110K. Patryk1.611111133LSep 2 · 21:00L. Buklat2.1581311133K. Patryk1.5811116111LSep 2 · 19:30K. Patryk1.5781170W. Arkadiusz2.171113113LSep 2 · 17:30P. Odelski2.00891112113K. Patryk1.72111191032WSep 2 · 15:00P. Kamil2.20471231K. Patryk1.58111110113WSep 2 · 14:30J. Komorowicz2.9512116542K. Patryk1.361091111113LSep 1 · 22:30J. Komorowicz3.30811126133K. Patryk1.291191011112WSep 1 · 19:30K. Patryk1.47119611123W. Arkadiusz2.50511112102
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