TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13066402
Played Sep 2Finished
Jakub Komorowicz
Home
2.43
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111191012411––
Lukasz Buklat
Away
1.45
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:29 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timeLukasz Buklat to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
9111191012411––
H2H Jakub Komorowicz 11–20 Lukasz Buklat Jakub Komorowicz has won 11 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:29What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.45 (63%)
Buklat
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-20 in 31
Buklat
Correct
gap of 9 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Komorowicz 1353 vs Buklat 1436
Buklat
Correct
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Komorowicz 40% vs Buklat 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Komorowicz 50% vs Buklat 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Komorowicz -3 · Buklat +1
Komorowicz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Buklat) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buklat form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKomorowicz 2.43 / Buklat 1.45
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Buklat)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13066402
Komorowicz2.43
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 84 of 200
Down 0–1, comes back22% 25 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 58
Buklat1.45
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 67 of 113
Up 2–0, closes it100% 36 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it81% 50 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKomorowicz4wins
AwayBuklat6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBuklat leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKomorowicz75%3 of 4
AwayBuklat83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Komorowicz4Buklat6n = 10Buklat took 6 of 10
S2Komorowicz4Buklat6n = 10Buklat took 6 of 10
S3Komorowicz3Buklat7n = 10Buklat took 7 of 10
S4Komorowicz3Buklat5n = 8Buklat took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKomorowiczBuklatK − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.242.0−2.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKomorowiczBuklatBasisWin rate · lifetime219 / 481 vs 267 / 46945.5%56.9%219 / 481 vs 267 / 469Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.739.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuklatKomorowicz 2.43/Buklat 1.45
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.2%
Buklat · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Buklat won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 19:00J. Komorowicz—851161L. Buklat—11115113
WAug 26 · 22:40J. Komorowicz—1111116113L. Buklat—87131182
LAug 26 · 15:30J. Komorowicz—71360L. Buklat—1115113
WAug 24 · 21:00J. Komorowicz—91113133L. Buklat—11711111
LAug 17 · 18:30J. Komorowicz—81110101L. Buklat—11912123
WAug 15 · 15:05J. Komorowicz—117714153L. Buklat—7111112132
WAug 7 · 09:00J. Komorowicz—111211123L. Buklat—3147101
LAug 3 · 15:30J. Komorowicz—112881L. Buklat—81111113
LJul 27 · 14:30J. Komorowicz—14129101L. Buklat—161011123
LJul 26 · 17:35J. Komorowicz—61290L. Buklat—1114113
J. Komorowicz10
WSep 2 · 21:40P. Kamil1.6311811892J. Komorowicz2.15811811113LSep 2 · 20:00P. Kamil1.78111110113J. Komorowicz1.91671291LSep 2 · 18:00J. Komorowicz2.5512811982W. Arkadiusz1.421011911113LSep 2 · 16:30J. Komorowicz2.22811651P. Odelski1.5411811113LSep 2 · 14:30J. Komorowicz2.9512116542K. Patryk1.361091111113WSep 1 · 22:30J. Komorowicz3.30811126133K. Patryk1.291191011112WSep 1 · 21:00J. Komorowicz2.901111133K. Patryk1.3399110LSep 1 · 19:00K. Kos1.611111123J. Komorowicz2.0985100LSep 1 · 17:00F. Baranski2.11711116113J. Komorowicz1.6011991182WSep 1 · 16:00P. Kamil1.856111111112J. Komorowicz1.85117613133
L. Buklat10
LSep 7 · 17:00K. Patryk1.5711118113L. Buklat2.25891171LSep 7 · 16:00P. Odelski1.7311711113L. Buklat1.92911831LSep 7 · 15:30L. Buklat1.8369100W. Arkadiusz1.831111123LSep 2 · 22:10L. Buklat2.1599110K. Patryk1.611111133WSep 2 · 21:00L. Buklat2.1581311133K. Patryk1.5811116111WSep 2 · 17:00P. Kamil1.80119661L. Buklat1.9161111113LSep 2 · 16:00P. Odelski1.7711118143L. Buklat1.938611121LSep 2 · 15:30L. Buklat1.886811111W. Arkadiusz1.8211119133WAug 31 · 22:10K. Patryk1.47171280L. Buklat2.371914113LAug 31 · 20:00P. Kamil1.821412710113L. Buklat1.881210111262
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