TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13054794
Played Aug 31Finished
Pasek Kamil
Home
1.82
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
141212107111012116
Lukasz Buklat
Away
1.88
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukasz Buklat to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
105 points played in total.
Set by set
141212107111012116
H2H Pasek Kamil 9–15 Lukasz Buklat Pasek Kamil has won 9 of their 24 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:56What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.82 (51%)
Kamil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-15 in 24
Buklat
Wrong
gap of 6 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kamil 1399 vs Buklat 1443
Buklat
Wrong
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kamil 60% vs Buklat 40%
Kamil
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kamil 40% vs Buklat 60%
Buklat
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kamil -1 · Buklat +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kamil) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buklat form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKamil 1.82 / Buklat 1.88
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kamil)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13054794
Kamil1.82
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 21 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it72% 13 of 18
Buklat1.88
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 23 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back24% 5 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKamil5wins
AwayBuklat5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKamil100%4 of 4
AwayBuklat83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kamil4Buklat6n = 10Buklat took 6 of 10
S2Kamil3Buklat7n = 10Buklat took 7 of 10
S3Kamil6Buklat4n = 10Kamil took 6 of 10
S4Kamil3Buklat2n = 5Kamil took 3 of 5
S5Kamil2Buklat1n = 3Kamil took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKamilBuklatK − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.337.1−0.8per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKamilBuklatBasisWin rate · lifetime114 / 200 vs 265 / 46457%57.1%114 / 200 vs 265 / 464Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.839.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KamilKamil 1.82/Buklat 1.88
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kamil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kamil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 12:35P. Kamil—6770L. Buklat—1111113
WAug 15 · 20:35P. Kamil—1111113L. Buklat—7580
WAug 10 · 22:40P. Kamil—1112116113L. Buklat—81491192
WAug 10 · 18:00P. Kamil—9111011113L. Buklat—11812862
LAug 9 · 20:05P. Kamil—68100L. Buklat—1111123
LAug 3 · 20:00P. Kamil—861181L. Buklat—11117113
WAug 2 · 08:05P. Kamil—11911143L. Buklat—9117121
LAug 1 · 16:35P. Kamil—9950L. Buklat—1111113
LJul 27 · 18:00P. Kamil—49111292L. Buklat—1111710113
WJul 26 · 19:35P. Kamil—1114123L. Buklat—412100
P. Kamil10
LSep 2 · 21:40P. Kamil1.6311811892J. Komorowicz2.15811811113WSep 2 · 20:00P. Kamil1.78111110113J. Komorowicz1.91671291LSep 2 · 18:30P. Kamil2.25671171P. Odelski1.5811118113LSep 2 · 17:00P. Kamil1.80119661L. Buklat1.9161111113LSep 2 · 15:00P. Kamil2.20471231K. Patryk1.58111110113WSep 2 · 14:00P. Kamil1.9016911113W. Arkadiusz1.801411471WSep 1 · 22:00W. Arkadiusz1.8511119582P. Kamil1.85791111113LSep 1 · 20:30P. Kamil1.7358100W. Arkadiusz1.981111123WSep 1 · 18:30F. Baranski—61111562P. Kamil—114911113LSep 1 · 17:30P. Kamil2.107580K. Patryk1.651111113
L. Buklat10
LSep 7 · 17:00K. Patryk1.5711118113L. Buklat2.25891171LSep 7 · 16:00P. Odelski1.7311711113L. Buklat1.92911831LSep 7 · 15:30L. Buklat1.8369100W. Arkadiusz1.831111123LSep 2 · 22:10L. Buklat2.1599110K. Patryk1.611111133WSep 2 · 21:00L. Buklat2.1581311133K. Patryk1.5811116111WSep 2 · 19:00J. Komorowicz2.439111041L. Buklat1.4511912113WSep 2 · 17:00P. Kamil1.80119661L. Buklat1.9161111113LSep 2 · 16:00P. Odelski1.7711118143L. Buklat1.938611121LSep 2 · 15:30L. Buklat1.886811111W. Arkadiusz1.8211119133WAug 31 · 22:10K. Patryk1.47171280L. Buklat2.371914113
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