TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13059561
Played Sep 1Finished
Pasek Kamil
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711511811––––
Kiejda Patryk
Away
1.65
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKiejda Patryk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
53 points played in total.
Set by set
711511811––––
H2H Pasek Kamil 12–22 Kiejda Patryk Pasek Kamil has won 12 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:56What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Patryk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-22 in 34
Patryk
Correct
gap of 10 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kamil 1391 vs Patryk 1489
Patryk
Correct
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kamil 40% vs Patryk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kamil 40% vs Patryk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kamil -2 · Patryk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Patryk) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Patryk form (40%) is below what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKamil 2.10 / Patryk 1.65
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Patryk)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13059561
Kamil2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 10 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back13% 2 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Patryk1.65
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 90 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it94% 51 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it80% 70 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKamil2wins
AwayPatryk8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPatryk leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKamiln = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayPatryk87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kamil2Patryk8n = 10Patryk took 8 of 10
S2Kamil5Patryk5n = 10split evenly
S3Kamil7Patryk3n = 10Kamil took 7 of 10
S4Kamil3Patryk4n = 7Patryk took 4 of 7
S5Kamil0Patryk5n = 5Patryk took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKamilPatrykK − PBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match38.539.3−0.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKamilPatrykBasisWin rate · lifetime115 / 203 vs 169 / 29756.7%56.9%115 / 203 vs 169 / 297Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.939.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PatrykKamil 2.10/Patryk 1.65
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.2%
Patryk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Patryk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 10:35P. Kamil—10990K. Patryk—1211113
LAug 15 · 15:35P. Kamil—510131172K. Patryk—1112111113
LAug 11 · 10:30P. Kamil—111256102K. Patryk—5101111123
LAug 10 · 15:00P. Kamil—67111132K. Patryk—111175113
WAug 9 · 23:05P. Kamil—1111113K. Patryk—5350
LAug 9 · 21:05P. Kamil—711111092K. Patryk—117912113
WAug 4 · 20:10P. Kamil—71111113K. Patryk—115371
LAug 4 · 17:00P. Kamil—81411872K. Patryk—1112311113
LAug 3 · 18:00P. Kamil—7101671K. Patryk—111214113
LAug 2 · 07:05P. Kamil—10550K. Patryk—1211113
P. Kamil10
LSep 2 · 21:40P. Kamil1.6311811892J. Komorowicz2.15811811113WSep 2 · 20:00P. Kamil1.78111110113J. Komorowicz1.91671291LSep 2 · 18:30P. Kamil2.25671171P. Odelski1.5811118113LSep 2 · 17:00P. Kamil1.80119661L. Buklat1.9161111113LSep 2 · 15:00P. Kamil2.20471231K. Patryk1.58111110113WSep 2 · 14:00P. Kamil1.9016911113W. Arkadiusz1.801411471WSep 1 · 22:00W. Arkadiusz1.8511119582P. Kamil1.85791111113LSep 1 · 20:30P. Kamil1.7358100W. Arkadiusz1.981111123WSep 1 · 18:30F. Baranski—61111562P. Kamil—114911113WSep 1 · 16:30K. Kos1.71641471P. Kamil2.00111112113
K. Patryk10
WSep 7 · 17:00K. Patryk1.5711118113L. Buklat2.25891171LSep 7 · 15:00K. Patryk1.50614551K. Kos2.30111211113WSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk1.601091711113W. Arkadiusz2.10121115892WSep 2 · 22:10L. Buklat2.1599110K. Patryk1.611111133LSep 2 · 21:00L. Buklat2.1581311133K. Patryk1.5811116111LSep 2 · 19:30K. Patryk1.5781170W. Arkadiusz2.171113113LSep 2 · 17:30P. Odelski2.00891112113K. Patryk1.72111191032WSep 2 · 15:00P. Kamil2.20471231K. Patryk1.58111110113WSep 2 · 14:30J. Komorowicz2.9512116542K. Patryk1.361091111113LSep 1 · 22:30J. Komorowicz3.30811126133K. Patryk1.291191011112
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