TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13065567
Played Sep 2Finished
Pasek Kamil
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116911611611––
Lukasz Buklat
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukasz Buklat to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
116911611611––
H2H Pasek Kamil 10–15 Lukasz Buklat Pasek Kamil has won 10 of their 25 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:19What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kamil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-15 in 25
Buklat
Correct
gap of 5 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kamil 1402 vs Buklat 1425
Buklat
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kamil 60% vs Buklat 40%
Kamil
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kamil 50% vs Buklat 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kamil -1 · Buklat -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kamil) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buklat form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKamil 1.80 / Buklat 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kamil)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13065567
Kamil1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 23 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it75% 15 of 20
Buklat1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 25 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back22% 5 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKamil5wins
AwayBuklat5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKamil100%4 of 4
AwayBuklat83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kamil4Buklat6n = 10Buklat took 6 of 10
S2Kamil3Buklat7n = 10Buklat took 7 of 10
S3Kamil5Buklat5n = 10split evenly
S4Kamil3Buklat3n = 6split evenly
S5Kamil3Buklat1n = 4Kamil took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKamilBuklatK − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.039.6−1.6per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKamilBuklatBasisWin rate · lifetime119 / 210 vs 266 / 46856.7%56.8%119 / 210 vs 266 / 468Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.839.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KamilKamil 1.80/Buklat 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kamil · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Buklat won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 20:00P. Kamil—1412710113L. Buklat—1210111262
LAug 30 · 12:35P. Kamil—6770L. Buklat—1111113
WAug 15 · 20:35P. Kamil—1111113L. Buklat—7580
WAug 10 · 22:40P. Kamil—1112116113L. Buklat—81491192
WAug 10 · 18:00P. Kamil—9111011113L. Buklat—11812862
LAug 9 · 20:05P. Kamil—68100L. Buklat—1111123
LAug 3 · 20:00P. Kamil—861181L. Buklat—11117113
WAug 2 · 08:05P. Kamil—11911143L. Buklat—9117121
LAug 1 · 16:35P. Kamil—9950L. Buklat—1111113
LJul 27 · 18:00P. Kamil—49111292L. Buklat—1111710113
P. Kamil10
LSep 2 · 21:40P. Kamil1.6311811892J. Komorowicz2.15811811113WSep 2 · 20:00P. Kamil1.78111110113J. Komorowicz1.91671291LSep 2 · 18:30P. Kamil2.25671171P. Odelski1.5811118113LSep 2 · 15:00P. Kamil2.20471231K. Patryk1.58111110113WSep 2 · 14:00P. Kamil1.9016911113W. Arkadiusz1.801411471WSep 1 · 22:00W. Arkadiusz1.8511119582P. Kamil1.85791111113LSep 1 · 20:30P. Kamil1.7358100W. Arkadiusz1.981111123WSep 1 · 18:30F. Baranski—61111562P. Kamil—114911113LSep 1 · 17:30P. Kamil2.107580K. Patryk1.651111113WSep 1 · 16:30K. Kos1.71641471P. Kamil2.00111112113
L. Buklat10
LSep 7 · 17:00K. Patryk1.5711118113L. Buklat2.25891171LSep 7 · 16:00P. Odelski1.7311711113L. Buklat1.92911831LSep 7 · 15:30L. Buklat1.8369100W. Arkadiusz1.831111123LSep 2 · 22:10L. Buklat2.1599110K. Patryk1.611111133WSep 2 · 21:00L. Buklat2.1581311133K. Patryk1.5811116111WSep 2 · 19:00J. Komorowicz2.439111041L. Buklat1.4511912113LSep 2 · 16:00P. Odelski1.7711118143L. Buklat1.938611121LSep 2 · 15:30L. Buklat1.886811111W. Arkadiusz1.8211119133WAug 31 · 22:10K. Patryk1.47171280L. Buklat2.371914113LAug 31 · 20:00P. Kamil1.821412710113L. Buklat1.881210111262
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