TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13062957
Played Sep 2Finished
Pasek Kamil
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1614911114117––
Wiekiera Arkadiusz
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:28 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timePasek Kamil to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
83 points played in total.
Set by set
1614911114117––
H2H Pasek Kamil 23–12 Wiekiera Arkadiusz Wiekiera Arkadiusz has won 12 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:28What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Arkadiusz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-12 in 35
Kamil
Correct
gap of 11 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kamil 1400 vs Arkadiusz 1399
Kamil
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kamil 60% vs Arkadiusz 40%
Kamil
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kamil 50% vs Arkadiusz 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kamil +1 · Arkadiusz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Arkadiusz) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Arkadiusz form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKamil 1.90 / Arkadiusz 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Arkadiusz)+2.6pp
TT Cup · #13062957
Kamil1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 12 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back18% 3 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back14% 2 of 14
Arkadiusz1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 130 of 239
Up 2–0, closes it91% 52 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it71% 91 of 128
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKamil6wins
AwayArkadiusz4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKamil leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKamil100%3 of 3
AwayArkadiusz57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kamil3Arkadiusz7n = 10Arkadiusz took 7 of 10
S2Kamil5Arkadiusz5n = 10split evenly
S3Kamil8Arkadiusz2n = 10Kamil took 8 of 10
S4Kamil5Arkadiusz3n = 8Kamil took 5 of 8
S5Kamil2Arkadiusz2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKamilArkadiuszK − ABasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.041.2−0.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKamilArkadiuszBasisWin rate · lifetime118 / 208 vs 556 / 99356.7%56%118 / 208 vs 556 / 993Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.841.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ArkadiuszKamil 1.90/Arkadiusz 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Arkadiusz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kamil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 22:00P. Kamil—791111113W. Arkadiusz—11119582
LSep 1 · 20:30P. Kamil—58100W. Arkadiusz—1111123
WAug 31 · 15:00P. Kamil—1112123W. Arkadiusz—910100
LAug 30 · 08:05P. Kamil—81111872W. Arkadiusz—116911113
LAug 14 · 14:00P. Kamil—1011861W. Arkadiusz—12611113
WAug 11 · 05:00P. Kamil—13511113W. Arkadiusz—1111571
WAug 10 · 20:30P. Kamil—511117113W. Arkadiusz—11791192
WAug 9 · 17:35P. Kamil—81113113W. Arkadiusz—1191191
WAug 4 · 19:00P. Kamil—16911113W. Arkadiusz—1411781
LAug 3 · 22:10P. Kamil—415121162W. Arkadiusz—1117107113
P. Kamil10
LSep 2 · 21:40P. Kamil1.6311811892J. Komorowicz2.15811811113WSep 2 · 20:00P. Kamil1.78111110113J. Komorowicz1.91671291LSep 2 · 18:30P. Kamil2.25671171P. Odelski1.5811118113LSep 2 · 17:00P. Kamil1.80119661L. Buklat1.9161111113LSep 2 · 15:00P. Kamil2.20471231K. Patryk1.58111110113WSep 1 · 22:00W. Arkadiusz1.8511119582P. Kamil1.85791111113LSep 1 · 20:30P. Kamil1.7358100W. Arkadiusz1.981111123WSep 1 · 18:30F. Baranski—61111562P. Kamil—114911113LSep 1 · 17:30P. Kamil2.107580K. Patryk1.651111113WSep 1 · 16:30K. Kos1.71641471P. Kamil2.00111112113
W. Arkadiusz10
WSep 7 · 15:30L. Buklat1.8369100W. Arkadiusz1.831111123LSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk1.601091711113W. Arkadiusz2.10121115892LSep 2 · 22:40P. Odelski1.591111113W. Arkadiusz2.138890LSep 2 · 20:30P. Odelski1.6414711113W. Arkadiusz2.031211781WSep 2 · 19:30K. Patryk1.5781170W. Arkadiusz2.171113113WSep 2 · 18:00J. Komorowicz2.5512811982W. Arkadiusz1.421011911113WSep 2 · 15:30L. Buklat1.886811111W. Arkadiusz1.8211119133LSep 1 · 22:00W. Arkadiusz1.8511119582P. Kamil1.85791111113WSep 1 · 20:30P. Kamil1.7358100W. Arkadiusz1.981111123LSep 1 · 19:30K. Patryk1.47119611123W. Arkadiusz2.50511112102
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