TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13063050
Played Sep 2Finished
Lukasz Buklat
Home
1.88
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6118111191113––
Wiekiera Arkadiusz
Away
1.82
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukasz Buklat to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
6118111191113––
H2H Lukasz Buklat 41–38 Wiekiera Arkadiusz Wiekiera Arkadiusz has won 38 of their 79 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:48What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.82 (51%)
Arkadiusz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
41-38 in 79
Buklat
Wrong
gap of 3 in 79, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Buklat 1449 vs Arkadiusz 1388
Buklat
Wrong
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Buklat 40% vs Arkadiusz 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Buklat 60% vs Arkadiusz 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Buklat +1 · Arkadiusz -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Buklat)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Arkadiusz form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBuklat 1.88 / Arkadiusz 1.82
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Buklat)+4.8pp
TT Cup · #13063050
Buklat1.88
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 25 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back22% 5 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Arkadiusz1.82
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 130 of 239
Up 2–0, closes it91% 52 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it71% 91 of 128
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBuklat8wins
AwayArkadiusz2wins
6 of 10 to a deciderBuklat leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBuklat88.9%8 of 9
AwayArkadiuszn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Buklat9Arkadiusz1n = 10Buklat took 9 of 10
S2Buklat6Arkadiusz4n = 10Buklat took 6 of 10
S3Buklat5Arkadiusz5n = 10split evenly
S4Buklat2Arkadiusz6n = 8Arkadiusz took 6 of 8
S5Buklat5Arkadiusz1n = 6Buklat took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuklatArkadiuszB − ABasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match45.843.4+2.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuklatArkadiuszBasisWin rate · lifetime266 / 466 vs 556 / 99357.1%56%266 / 466 vs 556 / 993Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.241.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuklatBuklat 1.88/Arkadiusz 1.82
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Buklat · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Arkadiusz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 14:30L. Buklat—149815113W. Arkadiusz—1211111392
WAug 30 · 07:35L. Buklat—11713133W. Arkadiusz—91111111
WAug 26 · 21:00L. Buklat—1111129113W. Arkadiusz—79141162
LAug 24 · 17:00L. Buklat—911871W. Arkadiusz—11911113
WAug 17 · 15:30L. Buklat—1111113W. Arkadiusz—7770
WAug 10 · 16:30L. Buklat—126112113W. Arkadiusz—101141182
WAug 9 · 17:05L. Buklat—111178203W. Arkadiusz—871111182
WAug 7 · 07:00L. Buklat—1111713133W. Arkadiusz—571115112
WAug 3 · 17:00L. Buklat—1114113W. Arkadiusz—51290
LAug 2 · 08:35L. Buklat—111211652W. Arkadiusz—814811113
L. Buklat10
LSep 7 · 16:00P. Odelski1.7311711113L. Buklat1.92911831LSep 7 · 15:30L. Buklat1.8369100W. Arkadiusz1.831111123LSep 2 · 22:10L. Buklat2.1599110K. Patryk1.611111133WSep 2 · 21:00L. Buklat2.1581311133K. Patryk1.5811116111WSep 2 · 19:00J. Komorowicz2.439111041L. Buklat1.4511912113WSep 2 · 17:00P. Kamil1.80119661L. Buklat1.9161111113LSep 2 · 16:00P. Odelski1.7711118143L. Buklat1.938611121WAug 31 · 22:10K. Patryk1.47171280L. Buklat2.371914113LAug 31 · 20:00P. Kamil1.821412710113L. Buklat1.881210111262WAug 31 · 19:00L. Buklat1.3711115113J. Komorowicz2.70851161
W. Arkadiusz10
WSep 7 · 15:30L. Buklat1.8369100W. Arkadiusz1.831111123LSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk1.601091711113W. Arkadiusz2.10121115892LSep 2 · 22:40P. Odelski1.591111113W. Arkadiusz2.138890LSep 2 · 20:30P. Odelski1.6414711113W. Arkadiusz2.031211781WSep 2 · 19:30K. Patryk1.5781170W. Arkadiusz2.171113113WSep 2 · 18:00J. Komorowicz2.5512811982W. Arkadiusz1.421011911113LSep 2 · 14:00P. Kamil1.9016911113W. Arkadiusz1.801411471LSep 1 · 22:00W. Arkadiusz1.8511119582P. Kamil1.85791111113WSep 1 · 20:30P. Kamil1.7358100W. Arkadiusz1.981111123LSep 1 · 19:30K. Patryk1.47119611123W. Arkadiusz2.50511112102
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