TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13054149
Played Aug 31Finished
Lukasz Buklat
Home
1.37
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118115511116––
Jakub Komorowicz
Away
2.70
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:57 and never touched — 61.4% is still 61.4%
Graded at full timeLukasz Buklat to win
61.4%
61.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
68 points played in total.
Set by set
118115511116––
H2H Lukasz Buklat 19–11 Jakub Komorowicz Jakub Komorowicz has won 11 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:57What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.37 (66%)
Buklat
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-11 in 30
Buklat
Correct
gap of 8 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Buklat 1435 vs Komorowicz 1349
Buklat
Correct
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Buklat 40% vs Komorowicz 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Buklat 50% vs Komorowicz 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Buklat -2 · Komorowicz -3
Komorowicz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Buklat) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buklat form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBuklat 1.37 / Komorowicz 2.70
Signal prob.68% / 33%
Edge (Buklat)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13054149
Buklat1.37
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 66 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it100% 35 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it82% 49 of 60
Komorowicz2.70
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 80 of 190
Down 0–1, comes back22% 24 of 108
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBuklat6wins
AwayKomorowicz4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBuklat leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBuklat83.3%5 of 6
AwayKomorowicz75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Buklat6Komorowicz4n = 10Buklat took 6 of 10
S2Buklat6Komorowicz4n = 10Buklat took 6 of 10
S3Buklat8Komorowicz2n = 10Buklat took 8 of 10
S4Buklat4Komorowicz3n = 7Buklat took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuklatKomorowiczB − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.738.8+2.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuklatKomorowiczBasisWin rate · lifetime264 / 463 vs 214 / 46957%45.6%264 / 463 vs 214 / 469Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuklatBuklat 1.37/Komorowicz 2.70
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.5%
Buklat · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Buklat won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 22:40L. Buklat—87131182J. Komorowicz—1111116113
WAug 26 · 15:30L. Buklat—1115113J. Komorowicz—71360
LAug 24 · 21:00L. Buklat—11711111J. Komorowicz—91113133
WAug 17 · 18:30L. Buklat—11912123J. Komorowicz—81110101
LAug 15 · 15:05L. Buklat—7111112132J. Komorowicz—117714153
LAug 7 · 09:00L. Buklat—3147101J. Komorowicz—111211123
WAug 3 · 15:30L. Buklat—81111113J. Komorowicz—112881
WJul 27 · 14:30L. Buklat—161011123J. Komorowicz—14129101
WJul 26 · 17:35L. Buklat—1114113J. Komorowicz—61290
WJul 20 · 17:00L. Buklat—1113113J. Komorowicz—81170
L. Buklat10
LSep 7 · 17:00K. Patryk1.5711118113L. Buklat2.25891171LSep 7 · 16:00P. Odelski1.7311711113L. Buklat1.92911831LSep 7 · 15:30L. Buklat1.8369100W. Arkadiusz1.831111123LSep 2 · 22:10L. Buklat2.1599110K. Patryk1.611111133WSep 2 · 21:00L. Buklat2.1581311133K. Patryk1.5811116111WSep 2 · 19:00J. Komorowicz2.439111041L. Buklat1.4511912113WSep 2 · 17:00P. Kamil1.80119661L. Buklat1.9161111113LSep 2 · 16:00P. Odelski1.7711118143L. Buklat1.938611121LSep 2 · 15:30L. Buklat1.886811111W. Arkadiusz1.8211119133WAug 31 · 22:10K. Patryk1.47171280L. Buklat2.371914113
J. Komorowicz10
WSep 2 · 21:40P. Kamil1.6311811892J. Komorowicz2.15811811113LSep 2 · 20:00P. Kamil1.78111110113J. Komorowicz1.91671291LSep 2 · 19:00J. Komorowicz2.439111041L. Buklat1.4511912113LSep 2 · 18:00J. Komorowicz2.5512811982W. Arkadiusz1.421011911113LSep 2 · 16:30J. Komorowicz2.22811651P. Odelski1.5411811113LSep 2 · 14:30J. Komorowicz2.9512116542K. Patryk1.361091111113WSep 1 · 22:30J. Komorowicz3.30811126133K. Patryk1.291191011112WSep 1 · 21:00J. Komorowicz2.901111133K. Patryk1.3399110LSep 1 · 19:00K. Kos1.611111123J. Komorowicz2.0985100LSep 1 · 17:00F. Baranski2.11711116113J. Komorowicz1.6011991182
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.