TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13065568
Played Sep 2Finished
Jakub Komorowicz
Home
2.22
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811118611511––
Piotr Odelski
Away
1.54
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Odelski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
811118611511––
H2H Jakub Komorowicz 4–3 Piotr Odelski Piotr Odelski has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:21What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (59%)
Odelski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Komorowicz 1369 vs Odelski 1504
Odelski
Correct
both rated, 134 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Komorowicz 40% vs Odelski 80%
Odelski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Komorowicz 50% vs Odelski 70%
Odelski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Komorowicz -1 · Odelski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Odelski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Odelski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKomorowicz 2.22 / Odelski 1.54
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Odelski)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13065568
Komorowicz2.22
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 84 of 200
Down 0–1, comes back22% 25 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 58
Odelski1.54
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 12 of 19
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKomorowicz4wins
AwayOdelski3wins
3 of 7 to a deciderKomorowicz leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKomorowicz75%3 of 4
AwayOdelski66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Komorowicz4Odelski3n = 7Komorowicz took 4 of 7
S2Komorowicz3Odelski4n = 7Odelski took 4 of 7
S3Komorowicz6Odelski1n = 7Komorowicz took 6 of 7
S4Komorowicz1Odelski5n = 6Odelski took 5 of 6
S5Komorowicz2Odelski1n = 3Komorowicz took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricKomorowiczOdelskiK − OBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match40.038.9+1.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKomorowiczOdelskiBasisWin rate · lifetime219 / 479 vs 28 / 4945.7%57.1%219 / 479 vs 28 / 49Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.741.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OdelskiKomorowicz 2.22/Odelski 1.54
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.4%
Odelski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Odelski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 26 · 20:30J. Komorowicz—1110116113P. Odelski—81271192
LAug 25 · 15:00J. Komorowicz—631191P. Odelski—11118113
LAug 24 · 17:30J. Komorowicz—11611772P. Odelski—311311113
WAug 18 · 15:30J. Komorowicz—611117113P. Odelski—11961172
LAug 17 · 16:30J. Komorowicz—814781P. Odelski—111211113
WAug 15 · 19:35J. Komorowicz—11812123P. Odelski—31110101
WAug 11 · 07:00J. Komorowicz—1112113P. Odelski—31090
J. Komorowicz10
WSep 2 · 21:40P. Kamil1.6311811892J. Komorowicz2.15811811113LSep 2 · 20:00P. Kamil1.78111110113J. Komorowicz1.91671291LSep 2 · 19:00J. Komorowicz2.439111041L. Buklat1.4511912113LSep 2 · 18:00J. Komorowicz2.5512811982W. Arkadiusz1.421011911113LSep 2 · 14:30J. Komorowicz2.9512116542K. Patryk1.361091111113WSep 1 · 22:30J. Komorowicz3.30811126133K. Patryk1.291191011112WSep 1 · 21:00J. Komorowicz2.901111133K. Patryk1.3399110LSep 1 · 19:00K. Kos1.611111123J. Komorowicz2.0985100LSep 1 · 17:00F. Baranski2.11711116113J. Komorowicz1.6011991182WSep 1 · 16:00P. Kamil1.856111111112J. Komorowicz1.85117613133
P. Odelski10
WSep 7 · 16:30W. Dariusz5.7549111162P. Odelski1.12111165113WSep 7 · 16:00P. Odelski1.7311711113L. Buklat1.92911831WSep 2 · 22:40P. Odelski1.591111113W. Arkadiusz2.138890WSep 2 · 20:30P. Odelski1.6414711113W. Arkadiusz2.031211781WSep 2 · 18:30P. Kamil2.25671171P. Odelski1.5811118113WSep 2 · 17:30P. Odelski2.00891112113K. Patryk1.72111191032WSep 2 · 16:00P. Odelski1.7711118143L. Buklat1.938611121WAug 31 · 22:40P. Odelski1.758111111113P. Kamil1.9811135892LAug 31 · 20:30P. Odelski2.15671141K. Patryk1.6211116113WAug 31 · 18:30P. Kamil1.98591161P. Odelski1.7511119113
Upcoming Matches
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