TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13055513
Played Sep 1Finished
Pasek Kamil
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
61111711611131113
Jakub Komorowicz
Away
1.85
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:06 and never touched — 61.0% is still 61.0%
Graded at full timePasek Kamil to win
61.0%
61.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
100 points played in total.
Set by set
61111711611131113
H2H Pasek Kamil 19–11 Jakub Komorowicz Jakub Komorowicz has won 11 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:06What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Komorowicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-11 in 30
Kamil
Wrong
gap of 8 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kamil 1403 vs Komorowicz 1359
Kamil
Wrong
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kamil 60% vs Komorowicz 40%
Kamil
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kamil 50% vs Komorowicz 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kamil -1 · Komorowicz +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kamil) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Komorowicz form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKamil 1.85 / Komorowicz 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kamil)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13055513
Kamil1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Komorowicz1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKamil7wins
AwayKomorowicz3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKamil leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKamil85.7%6 of 7
AwayKomorowicz66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kamil7Komorowicz3n = 10Kamil took 7 of 10
S2Kamil5Komorowicz5n = 10split evenly
S3Kamil7Komorowicz3n = 10Kamil took 7 of 10
S4Kamil3Komorowicz5n = 8Komorowicz took 5 of 8
S5Kamil3Komorowicz1n = 4Kamil took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKamilKomorowiczKamil − KomorowiczBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.437.0+4.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKamilKomorowiczBasisWin rate · lifetime115 / 202 vs 216 / 47356.9%45.7%115 / 202 vs 216 / 473Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.939.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KamilKamil 1.85/Komorowicz 1.85
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kamil · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Komorowicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 17:00P. Kamil—1111113J. Komorowicz—9370
WAug 15 · 23:35P. Kamil—81111163J. Komorowicz—1177141
LAug 15 · 16:05P. Kamil—11511592J. Komorowicz—811911113
LAug 14 · 20:00P. Kamil—711791J. Komorowicz—11411113
LAug 11 · 13:00P. Kamil—1091141J. Komorowicz—12117113
WAug 11 · 06:30P. Kamil—119611133J. Komorowicz—811115112
WAug 4 · 14:00P. Kamil—111279113J. Komorowicz—810111162
WAug 3 · 14:30P. Kamil—1111113J. Komorowicz—3680
WJul 28 · 21:30P. Kamil—119119113J. Komorowicz—51181192
WJul 28 · 14:00P. Kamil—11911113J. Komorowicz—811571
P. Kamil10
LSep 2 · 21:40P. Kamil1.6311811892J. Komorowicz2.15811811113WSep 2 · 20:00P. Kamil1.78111110113J. Komorowicz1.91671291LSep 2 · 18:30P. Kamil2.25671171P. Odelski1.5811118113LSep 2 · 17:00P. Kamil1.80119661L. Buklat1.9161111113LSep 2 · 15:00P. Kamil2.20471231K. Patryk1.58111110113WSep 2 · 14:00P. Kamil1.9016911113W. Arkadiusz1.801411471WSep 1 · 22:00W. Arkadiusz1.8511119582P. Kamil1.85791111113LSep 1 · 20:30P. Kamil1.7358100W. Arkadiusz1.981111123WSep 1 · 18:30F. Baranski—61111562P. Kamil—114911113LSep 1 · 17:30P. Kamil2.107580K. Patryk1.651111113
J. Komorowicz10
WSep 2 · 21:40P. Kamil1.6311811892J. Komorowicz2.15811811113LSep 2 · 20:00P. Kamil1.78111110113J. Komorowicz1.91671291LSep 2 · 19:00J. Komorowicz2.439111041L. Buklat1.4511912113LSep 2 · 18:00J. Komorowicz2.5512811982W. Arkadiusz1.421011911113LSep 2 · 16:30J. Komorowicz2.22811651P. Odelski1.5411811113LSep 2 · 14:30J. Komorowicz2.9512116542K. Patryk1.361091111113WSep 1 · 22:30J. Komorowicz3.30811126133K. Patryk1.291191011112WSep 1 · 21:00J. Komorowicz2.901111133K. Patryk1.3399110LSep 1 · 19:00K. Kos1.611111123J. Komorowicz2.0985100LSep 1 · 17:00F. Baranski2.11711116113J. Komorowicz1.6011991182
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