TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13060467
Played Sep 1Finished
Pasek Kamil
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5118111012––––
Wiekiera Arkadiusz
Away
1.98
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:26 and never touched — 54.8% is still 54.8%
Graded at full timePasek Kamil to win
54.8%
54.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
5118111012––––
H2H Pasek Kamil 22–11 Wiekiera Arkadiusz Wiekiera Arkadiusz has won 11 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:26What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (53%)
Kamil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-11 in 33
Kamil
Wrong
gap of 11 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kamil 1403 vs Arkadiusz 1396
Kamil
Wrong
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kamil 40% vs Arkadiusz 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kamil 60% vs Arkadiusz 40%
Kamil
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kamil +1 · Arkadiusz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Kamil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Arkadiusz form (40%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKamil 1.73 / Arkadiusz 1.98
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Kamil)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13060467
Kamil1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 23 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it75% 15 of 20
Arkadiusz1.98
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog54% won 53 of 98
Down 0–1, comes back30% 14 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKamil6wins
AwayArkadiusz4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKamil leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKamil100%4 of 4
AwayArkadiusz66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kamil4Arkadiusz6n = 10Arkadiusz took 6 of 10
S2Kamil6Arkadiusz4n = 10Kamil took 6 of 10
S3Kamil7Arkadiusz3n = 10Kamil took 7 of 10
S4Kamil5Arkadiusz3n = 8Kamil took 5 of 8
S5Kamil1Arkadiusz2n = 3Arkadiusz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKamilArkadiuszK − ABasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.739.9−0.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKamilArkadiuszBasisWin rate · lifetime117 / 206 vs 557 / 99556.8%56%117 / 206 vs 557 / 995Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.941.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KamilKamil 1.73/Arkadiusz 1.98
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55%
Kamil · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Arkadiusz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 15:00P. Kamil—1112123W. Arkadiusz—910100
LAug 30 · 08:05P. Kamil—81111872W. Arkadiusz—116911113
LAug 14 · 14:00P. Kamil—1011861W. Arkadiusz—12611113
WAug 11 · 05:00P. Kamil—13511113W. Arkadiusz—1111571
WAug 10 · 20:30P. Kamil—511117113W. Arkadiusz—11791192
WAug 9 · 17:35P. Kamil—81113113W. Arkadiusz—1191191
WAug 4 · 19:00P. Kamil—16911113W. Arkadiusz—1411781
LAug 3 · 22:10P. Kamil—415121162W. Arkadiusz—1117107113
LAug 3 · 19:00P. Kamil—5690W. Arkadiusz—1111113
WAug 2 · 11:05P. Kamil—11116113W. Arkadiusz—661191
P. Kamil10
LSep 2 · 21:40P. Kamil1.6311811892J. Komorowicz2.15811811113WSep 2 · 20:00P. Kamil1.78111110113J. Komorowicz1.91671291LSep 2 · 18:30P. Kamil2.25671171P. Odelski1.5811118113LSep 2 · 17:00P. Kamil1.80119661L. Buklat1.9161111113LSep 2 · 15:00P. Kamil2.20471231K. Patryk1.58111110113WSep 2 · 14:00P. Kamil1.9016911113W. Arkadiusz1.801411471WSep 1 · 22:00W. Arkadiusz1.8511119582P. Kamil1.85791111113WSep 1 · 18:30F. Baranski—61111562P. Kamil—114911113LSep 1 · 17:30P. Kamil2.107580K. Patryk1.651111113WSep 1 · 16:30K. Kos1.71641471P. Kamil2.00111112113
W. Arkadiusz10
WSep 7 · 15:30L. Buklat1.8369100W. Arkadiusz1.831111123LSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk1.601091711113W. Arkadiusz2.10121115892LSep 2 · 22:40P. Odelski1.591111113W. Arkadiusz2.138890LSep 2 · 20:30P. Odelski1.6414711113W. Arkadiusz2.031211781WSep 2 · 19:30K. Patryk1.5781170W. Arkadiusz2.171113113WSep 2 · 18:00J. Komorowicz2.5512811982W. Arkadiusz1.421011911113WSep 2 · 15:30L. Buklat1.886811111W. Arkadiusz1.8211119133LSep 2 · 14:00P. Kamil1.9016911113W. Arkadiusz1.801411471LSep 1 · 22:00W. Arkadiusz1.8511119582P. Kamil1.85791111113LSep 1 · 19:30K. Patryk1.47119611123W. Arkadiusz2.50511112102
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