TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13059562
Played Sep 1Finished
Kamil Kos
Home
1.71
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6114111412711––
Pasek Kamil
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:55 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timePasek Kamil to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
6114111412711––
H2H Kamil Kos 7–10 Pasek Kamil Kamil Kos has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:55What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Kos
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-10 in 17
Kamil
Correct
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kos 1441 vs Kamil 1381
Kos
Wrong
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kos 40% vs Kamil 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kos 60% vs Kamil 40%
Kos
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kos +2 · Kamil -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kos) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kos form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKos 1.71 / Kamil 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kos)+0.1pp
TT Cup · #13059562
Kos1.71
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite51% won 47 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it87% 34 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it66% 42 of 64
Kamil2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 10 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back13% 2 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKos5wins
AwayKamil5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKos66.7%4 of 6
AwayKamil75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kos6Kamil4n = 10Kos took 6 of 10
S2Kos7Kamil3n = 10Kos took 7 of 10
S3Kos4Kamil6n = 10Kamil took 6 of 10
S4Kos3Kamil4n = 7Kamil took 4 of 7
S5Kos1Kamil2n = 3Kamil took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosKamilKos − KamilBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.537.3+2.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosKamilBasisWin rate · lifetime143 / 290 vs 115 / 20449.3%56.4%143 / 290 vs 115 / 204Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.139.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosKos 1.71/Kamil 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kos · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kamil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 13:35K. Kos—1111113P. Kamil—3570
LAug 30 · 09:35K. Kos—1161061P. Kamil—71112113
WAug 10 · 14:00K. Kos—111267113P. Kamil—910111192
LAug 9 · 19:05K. Kos—911111162P. Kamil—118138113
LAug 3 · 16:30K. Kos—911971P. Kamil—11611113
LAug 2 · 14:35K. Kos—111189132P. Kamil—991111153
LAug 2 · 13:05K. Kos—8890P. Kamil—1111113
WAug 1 · 22:45K. Kos—101111113P. Kamil—123761
WAug 1 · 15:05K. Kos—1111143P. Kamil—78120
WJul 28 · 18:00K. Kos—11911113P. Kamil—711881
K. Kos10
WSep 7 · 15:00K. Patryk1.50614551K. Kos2.30111211113WSep 7 · 14:30W. Dariusz1.809712101K. Kos1.91111110123LSep 1 · 21:30F. Baranski1.59114711123K. Kos2.24711116102LSep 1 · 20:00F. Baranski2.85138119113K. Kos1.33111151182WSep 1 · 19:00K. Kos1.611111123J. Komorowicz2.0985100LSep 1 · 18:00K. Kos1.6471111882W. Arkadiusz2.04118511113WSep 1 · 14:30K. Kos2.1712119123K. Patryk1.5710811101WAug 30 · 13:35P. Kamil—3570K. Kos—1111113LAug 30 · 13:05W. Arkadiusz1.7981411113K. Kos1.841112661LAug 30 · 11:35K. Kos1.80971151L. Buklat1.9011118113
P. Kamil10
LSep 2 · 21:40P. Kamil1.6311811892J. Komorowicz2.15811811113WSep 2 · 20:00P. Kamil1.78111110113J. Komorowicz1.91671291LSep 2 · 18:30P. Kamil2.25671171P. Odelski1.5811118113LSep 2 · 17:00P. Kamil1.80119661L. Buklat1.9161111113LSep 2 · 15:00P. Kamil2.20471231K. Patryk1.58111110113WSep 2 · 14:00P. Kamil1.9016911113W. Arkadiusz1.801411471WSep 1 · 22:00W. Arkadiusz1.8511119582P. Kamil1.85791111113LSep 1 · 20:30P. Kamil1.7358100W. Arkadiusz1.981111123WSep 1 · 18:30F. Baranski—61111562P. Kamil—114911113LAug 30 · 13:35P. Kamil—3570K. Kos—1111113
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