TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13059608
Played Sep 1Finished
Kamil Kos
Home
1.64
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711118115811811
Wiekiera Arkadiusz
Away
2.04
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:57 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeWiekiera Arkadiusz to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
711118115811811
H2H Kamil Kos 17–23 Wiekiera Arkadiusz Kamil Kos has won 17 of their 40 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:57What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.64 (55%)
Kos
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-23 in 40
Arkadiusz
Correct
gap of 6 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kos 1428 vs Arkadiusz 1393
Kos
Wrong
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kos 40% vs Arkadiusz 60%
Arkadiusz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kos 50% vs Arkadiusz 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kos -1 · Arkadiusz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Kos) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Arkadiusz form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (49%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKos 1.64 / Arkadiusz 2.04
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Kos)-0.0pp
TT Cup · #13059608
Kos1.64
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite51% won 47 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it87% 34 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it66% 42 of 64
Arkadiusz2.04
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog54% won 53 of 98
Down 0–1, comes back30% 14 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKos2wins
AwayArkadiusz8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderArkadiusz leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKos20%1 of 5
AwayArkadiusz80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kos5Arkadiusz5n = 10split evenly
S2Kos5Arkadiusz5n = 10split evenly
S3Kos3Arkadiusz7n = 10Arkadiusz took 7 of 10
S4Kos3Arkadiusz6n = 9Arkadiusz took 6 of 9
S5Kos1Arkadiusz4n = 5Arkadiusz took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosArkadiuszK − ABasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.446.8−4.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosArkadiuszBasisWin rate · lifetime143 / 291 vs 556 / 99349.1%56%143 / 291 vs 556 / 993Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.041.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosKos 1.64/Arkadiusz 2.04
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.4%
Kos · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Arkadiusz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 13:05K. Kos—1112661W. Arkadiusz—81411113
LAug 25 · 15:30K. Kos—51112121W. Arkadiusz—11814143
LAug 24 · 20:00K. Kos—111311892W. Arkadiusz—715511113
WAug 22 · 09:35K. Kos—712128113W. Arkadiusz—1110101192
WAug 17 · 19:30K. Kos—11911113W. Arkadiusz—811961
LAug 10 · 18:30K. Kos—51371462W. Arkadiusz—11111112113
LAug 9 · 21:35K. Kos—1011861W. Arkadiusz—12711113
LAug 7 · 10:20K. Kos—118111382W. Arkadiusz—9111311113
LAug 7 · 05:30K. Kos—95140W. Arkadiusz—1111163
LAug 3 · 16:00K. Kos—14119572W. Arkadiusz—1281111113
K. Kos10
WSep 7 · 15:00K. Patryk1.50614551K. Kos2.30111211113WSep 7 · 14:30W. Dariusz1.809712101K. Kos1.91111110123LSep 1 · 21:30F. Baranski1.59114711123K. Kos2.24711116102LSep 1 · 20:00F. Baranski2.85138119113K. Kos1.33111151182WSep 1 · 19:00K. Kos1.611111123J. Komorowicz2.0985100LSep 1 · 16:30K. Kos1.71641471P. Kamil2.00111112113WSep 1 · 14:30K. Kos2.1712119123K. Patryk1.5710811101WAug 30 · 13:35P. Kamil—3570K. Kos—1111113LAug 30 · 13:05W. Arkadiusz1.7981411113K. Kos1.841112661LAug 30 · 11:35K. Kos1.80971151L. Buklat1.9011118113
W. Arkadiusz10
WSep 7 · 15:30L. Buklat1.8369100W. Arkadiusz1.831111123LSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk1.601091711113W. Arkadiusz2.10121115892LSep 2 · 22:40P. Odelski1.591111113W. Arkadiusz2.138890LSep 2 · 20:30P. Odelski1.6414711113W. Arkadiusz2.031211781WSep 2 · 19:30K. Patryk1.5781170W. Arkadiusz2.171113113WSep 2 · 18:00J. Komorowicz2.5512811982W. Arkadiusz1.421011911113WSep 2 · 15:30L. Buklat1.886811111W. Arkadiusz1.8211119133LSep 2 · 14:00P. Kamil1.9016911113W. Arkadiusz1.801411471LSep 1 · 22:00W. Arkadiusz1.8511119582P. Kamil1.85791111113WAug 30 · 13:05W. Arkadiusz1.7981411113K. Kos1.841112661
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