TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13067119
Played Sep 2Finished
Piotr Odelski
Home
1.64
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1412711117118––
Wiekiera Arkadiusz
Away
2.03
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:28 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timePiotr Odelski to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
81 points played in total.
Set by set
1412711117118––
H2H Piotr Odelski 5–3 Wiekiera Arkadiusz Wiekiera Arkadiusz has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:28What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.64 (55%)
Odelski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Odelski
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Odelski 1532 vs Arkadiusz 1427
Odelski
Correct
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Odelski 100% vs Arkadiusz 60%
Odelski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Odelski 90% vs Arkadiusz 60%
Odelski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Odelski +5 · Arkadiusz +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Odelski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Arkadiusz form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (49%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOdelski 1.64 / Arkadiusz 2.03
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Odelski)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13067119
Odelski1.64
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 12 of 19
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Arkadiusz2.03
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog54% won 54 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back30% 14 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeOdelski5wins
AwayArkadiusz3wins
2 of 8 to a deciderOdelski leads 5–3, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOdelski100%3 of 3
AwayArkadiusz60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Odelski3Arkadiusz5n = 8Arkadiusz took 5 of 8
S2Odelski6Arkadiusz2n = 8Odelski took 6 of 8
S3Odelski6Arkadiusz2n = 8Odelski took 6 of 8
S4Odelski1Arkadiusz5n = 6Arkadiusz took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricOdelskiArkadiuszO − ABasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match39.036.0+3.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOdelskiArkadiuszBasisWin rate · lifetime30 / 51 vs 559 / 99658.8%56.1%30 / 51 vs 559 / 996Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match41.141.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OdelskiOdelski 1.64/Arkadiusz 2.03
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Odelski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Odelski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 31 · 17:30P. Odelski—1111113W. Arkadiusz—4750
WAug 26 · 17:30P. Odelski—101112113W. Arkadiusz—1251081
WAug 25 · 14:00P. Odelski—1111113W. Arkadiusz—5950
LAug 24 · 18:30P. Odelski—1011861W. Arkadiusz—12911113
WAug 17 · 22:10P. Odelski—111168113W. Arkadiusz—97111172
LAug 17 · 14:30P. Odelski—1081171W. Arkadiusz—12119113
WAug 11 · 12:30P. Odelski—911115113W. Arkadiusz—11671182
LAug 11 · 09:30P. Odelski—6121181W. Arkadiusz—11148113
P. Odelski10
WSep 7 · 16:30W. Dariusz5.7549111162P. Odelski1.12111165113WSep 7 · 16:00P. Odelski1.7311711113L. Buklat1.92911831WSep 2 · 22:40P. Odelski1.591111113W. Arkadiusz2.138890WSep 2 · 18:30P. Kamil2.25671171P. Odelski1.5811118113WSep 2 · 17:30P. Odelski2.00891112113K. Patryk1.72111191032WSep 2 · 16:30J. Komorowicz2.22811651P. Odelski1.5411811113WSep 2 · 16:00P. Odelski1.7711118143L. Buklat1.938611121WAug 31 · 22:40P. Odelski1.758111111113P. Kamil1.9811135892LAug 31 · 20:30P. Odelski2.15671141K. Patryk1.6211116113WAug 31 · 18:30P. Kamil1.98591161P. Odelski1.7511119113
W. Arkadiusz10
WSep 7 · 15:30L. Buklat1.8369100W. Arkadiusz1.831111123LSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk1.601091711113W. Arkadiusz2.10121115892LSep 2 · 22:40P. Odelski1.591111113W. Arkadiusz2.138890WSep 2 · 19:30K. Patryk1.5781170W. Arkadiusz2.171113113WSep 2 · 18:00J. Komorowicz2.5512811982W. Arkadiusz1.421011911113WSep 2 · 15:30L. Buklat1.886811111W. Arkadiusz1.8211119133LSep 2 · 14:00P. Kamil1.9016911113W. Arkadiusz1.801411471LSep 1 · 22:00W. Arkadiusz1.8511119582P. Kamil1.85791111113WSep 1 · 20:30P. Kamil1.7358100W. Arkadiusz1.981111123LSep 1 · 19:30K. Patryk1.47119611123W. Arkadiusz2.50511112102
Upcoming Matches
P. Odelski1 of 2 neutral
W. Arkadiusz
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.