TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13053800
Played Aug 31Finished
Pasek Kamil
Home
1.98
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511911119611––
Piotr Odelski
Away
1.75
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:57 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timePiotr Odelski to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
511911119611––
H2H Pasek Kamil 1–1 Piotr Odelski Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:57What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Odelski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kamil 1409 vs Odelski 1485
Odelski
Correct
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kamil 60% vs Odelski 80%
Odelski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kamil 50% vs Odelski 70%
Odelski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kamil +3 · Odelski +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Odelski) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Odelski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKamil 1.98 / Odelski 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Odelski)+0.9pp
TT Cup · #13053800
Kamil1.98
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 8 of 22
Down 0–1, comes back14% 2 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Odelski1.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 8 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it80% 4 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKamil1wins
AwayOdelski1wins
2 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKamilOdelskiK − OBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match48.047.0+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKamilOdelskiBasisWin rate · lifetime114 / 199 vs 24 / 4457.3%54.6%114 / 199 vs 24 / 44Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.840.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OdelskiKamil 1.98/Odelski 1.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Odelski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Odelski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 15 · 18:35P. Kamil—117612113P. Odelski—511111072
LAug 11 · 11:30P. Kamil—108111192P. Odelski—121179113
P. Kamil10
LSep 2 · 21:40P. Kamil1.6311811892J. Komorowicz2.15811811113WSep 2 · 20:00P. Kamil1.78111110113J. Komorowicz1.91671291LSep 2 · 18:30P. Kamil2.25671171P. Odelski1.5811118113LSep 2 · 17:00P. Kamil1.80119661L. Buklat1.9161111113LSep 2 · 15:00P. Kamil2.20471231K. Patryk1.58111110113WSep 2 · 14:00P. Kamil1.9016911113W. Arkadiusz1.801411471WSep 1 · 22:00W. Arkadiusz1.8511119582P. Kamil1.85791111113LSep 1 · 20:30P. Kamil1.7358100W. Arkadiusz1.981111123WSep 1 · 18:30F. Baranski—61111562P. Kamil—114911113LSep 1 · 17:30P. Kamil2.107580K. Patryk1.651111113
P. Odelski10
WSep 7 · 16:30W. Dariusz5.7549111162P. Odelski1.12111165113WSep 7 · 16:00P. Odelski1.7311711113L. Buklat1.92911831WSep 2 · 22:40P. Odelski1.591111113W. Arkadiusz2.138890WSep 2 · 20:30P. Odelski1.6414711113W. Arkadiusz2.031211781WSep 2 · 18:30P. Kamil2.25671171P. Odelski1.5811118113WSep 2 · 17:30P. Odelski2.00891112113K. Patryk1.72111191032WSep 2 · 16:30J. Komorowicz2.22811651P. Odelski1.5411811113WSep 2 · 16:00P. Odelski1.7711118143L. Buklat1.938611121WAug 31 · 22:40P. Odelski1.758111111113P. Kamil1.9811135892LAug 31 · 20:30P. Odelski2.15671141K. Patryk1.6211116113
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