TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13054793
Played Aug 31Finished
Piotr Odelski
Home
2.15
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611711116411––
Kiejda Patryk
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKiejda Patryk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
67 points played in total.
Set by set
611711116411––
H2H Piotr Odelski 3–7 Kiejda Patryk Piotr Odelski has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:57What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.62 (57%)
Patryk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-7 in 10
Patryk
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Odelski 1496 vs Patryk 1507
Patryk
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Odelski 100% vs Patryk 60%
Odelski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Odelski 70% vs Patryk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Odelski +5 · Patryk -1
Odelski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Patryk) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Odelski form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (47%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOdelski 2.15 / Patryk 1.62
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Patryk)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13054793
Odelski2.15
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 11 of 23
Down 0–1, comes back29% 4 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7
Patryk1.62
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite61% won 87 of 142
Up 2–0, closes it94% 49 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it80% 67 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOdelski3wins
AwayPatryk7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPatryk leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOdelski60%3 of 5
AwayPatryk100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Odelski5Patryk5n = 10split evenly
S2Odelski4Patryk6n = 10Patryk took 6 of 10
S3Odelski6Patryk4n = 10Odelski took 6 of 10
S4Odelski5Patryk3n = 8Odelski took 5 of 8
S5Odelski0Patryk5n = 5Patryk took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricOdelskiPatrykO − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.141.0−0.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOdelskiPatrykBasisWin rate · lifetime25 / 45 vs 167 / 29355.6%57%25 / 45 vs 167 / 293Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.939.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PatrykOdelski 2.15/Patryk 1.62
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.2%
Patryk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Patryk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 21:40P. Odelski—111110113K. Patryk—961221
LAug 26 · 18:30P. Odelski—41111892K. Patryk—118711113
WAug 25 · 22:30P. Odelski—1111133K. Patryk—73110
LAug 25 · 20:00P. Odelski—981111102K. Patryk—111179123
LAug 24 · 20:30P. Odelski—861461K. Patryk—111112113
LAug 18 · 17:00P. Odelski—111211962K. Patryk—714411113
LAug 17 · 19:00P. Odelski—12721182K. Patryk—1011118113
LAug 15 · 22:35P. Odelski—71171182K. Patryk—118119113
WAug 15 · 17:35P. Odelski—13511113K. Patryk—1111591
LAug 11 · 08:30P. Odelski—9780K. Patryk—1111113
P. Odelski10
WSep 7 · 16:30W. Dariusz5.7549111162P. Odelski1.12111165113WSep 7 · 16:00P. Odelski1.7311711113L. Buklat1.92911831WSep 2 · 22:40P. Odelski1.591111113W. Arkadiusz2.138890WSep 2 · 20:30P. Odelski1.6414711113W. Arkadiusz2.031211781WSep 2 · 18:30P. Kamil2.25671171P. Odelski1.5811118113WSep 2 · 17:30P. Odelski2.00891112113K. Patryk1.72111191032WSep 2 · 16:30J. Komorowicz2.22811651P. Odelski1.5411811113WSep 2 · 16:00P. Odelski1.7711118143L. Buklat1.938611121WAug 31 · 22:40P. Odelski1.758111111113P. Kamil1.9811135892WAug 31 · 18:30P. Kamil1.98591161P. Odelski1.7511119113
K. Patryk10
WSep 7 · 17:00K. Patryk1.5711118113L. Buklat2.25891171LSep 7 · 15:00K. Patryk1.50614551K. Kos2.30111211113WSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk1.601091711113W. Arkadiusz2.10121115892WSep 2 · 22:10L. Buklat2.1599110K. Patryk1.611111133LSep 2 · 21:00L. Buklat2.1581311133K. Patryk1.5811116111LSep 2 · 19:30K. Patryk1.5781170W. Arkadiusz2.171113113LSep 2 · 17:30P. Odelski2.00891112113K. Patryk1.72111191032WSep 2 · 15:00P. Kamil2.20471231K. Patryk1.58111110113WSep 2 · 14:30J. Komorowicz2.9512116542K. Patryk1.361091111113LSep 1 · 22:30J. Komorowicz3.30811126133K. Patryk1.291191011112
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