TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13067545
Played Sep 2Finished
Lukasz Buklat
Home
2.15
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9119111113––––
Kiejda Patryk
Away
1.61
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKiejda Patryk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
64 points played in total.
Set by set
9119111113––––
H2H Lukasz Buklat 15–20 Kiejda Patryk Lukasz Buklat has won 15 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:08What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (57%)
Patryk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-20 in 35
Patryk
Correct
gap of 5 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Buklat 1457 vs Patryk 1451
Buklat
Wrong
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Buklat 60% vs Patryk 40%
Buklat
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Buklat 50% vs Patryk 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Buklat +3 · Patryk -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Patryk) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Patryk form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBuklat 2.15 / Patryk 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Patryk)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13067545
Buklat2.15
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 25 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back22% 5 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Patryk1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 92 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it95% 52 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it79% 72 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBuklat4wins
AwayPatryk6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPatryk leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBuklatn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayPatryk75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Buklat2Patryk8n = 10Patryk took 8 of 10
S2Buklat5Patryk5n = 10split evenly
S3Buklat5Patryk5n = 10split evenly
S4Buklat3Patryk3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuklatPatrykB − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match34.039.8−5.8per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuklatPatrykBasisWin rate · lifetime269 / 471 vs 173 / 30657.1%56.5%269 / 471 vs 173 / 306Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PatrykBuklat 2.15/Patryk 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.6%
Patryk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Patryk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 21:00L. Buklat—81311133K. Patryk—11116111
WAug 31 · 22:10L. Buklat—1914113K. Patryk—171280
LAug 31 · 18:00L. Buklat—101060K. Patryk—1212113
LAug 30 · 14:35L. Buklat—611361K. Patryk—11711113
LAug 30 · 06:05L. Buklat—8930K. Patryk—1111113
LAug 26 · 17:00L. Buklat—31191162K. Patryk—119119113
LAug 24 · 15:30L. Buklat—2350K. Patryk—1111113
WAug 17 · 22:40L. Buklat—118117113K. Patryk—81191152
LAug 17 · 17:00L. Buklat—741191K. Patryk—11118113
WAug 15 · 19:05L. Buklat—171111113K. Patryk—198991
L. Buklat10
LSep 7 · 16:00P. Odelski1.7311711113L. Buklat1.92911831LSep 7 · 15:30L. Buklat1.8369100W. Arkadiusz1.831111123WSep 2 · 21:00L. Buklat2.1581311133K. Patryk1.5811116111WSep 2 · 19:00J. Komorowicz2.439111041L. Buklat1.4511912113WSep 2 · 17:00P. Kamil1.80119661L. Buklat1.9161111113LSep 2 · 16:00P. Odelski1.7711118143L. Buklat1.938611121LSep 2 · 15:30L. Buklat1.886811111W. Arkadiusz1.8211119133WAug 31 · 22:10K. Patryk1.47171280L. Buklat2.371914113LAug 31 · 20:00P. Kamil1.821412710113L. Buklat1.881210111262WAug 31 · 19:00L. Buklat1.3711115113J. Komorowicz2.70851161
K. Patryk10
LSep 7 · 15:00K. Patryk1.50614551K. Kos2.30111211113WSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk1.601091711113W. Arkadiusz2.10121115892LSep 2 · 21:00L. Buklat2.1581311133K. Patryk1.5811116111LSep 2 · 19:30K. Patryk1.5781170W. Arkadiusz2.171113113LSep 2 · 17:30P. Odelski2.00891112113K. Patryk1.72111191032WSep 2 · 15:00P. Kamil2.20471231K. Patryk1.58111110113WSep 2 · 14:30J. Komorowicz2.9512116542K. Patryk1.361091111113LSep 1 · 22:30J. Komorowicz3.30811126133K. Patryk1.291191011112LSep 1 · 21:00J. Komorowicz2.901111133K. Patryk1.3399110LAug 31 · 22:10K. Patryk1.47171280L. Buklat2.371914113
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