TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13093364
Played Sep 7Finished
Lukasz Buklat
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6119111012––––
Wiekiera Arkadiusz
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukasz Buklat to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
59 points played in total.
Set by set
6119111012––––
H2H Lukasz Buklat 41–39 Wiekiera Arkadiusz Wiekiera Arkadiusz has won 39 of their 80 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:48What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Arkadiusz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
41-39 in 80
Buklat
Wrong
gap of 2 in 80, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Buklat 1443 vs Arkadiusz 1401
Buklat
Wrong
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Buklat 60% vs Arkadiusz 40%
Buklat
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Buklat 50% vs Arkadiusz 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Buklat -1 · Arkadiusz -3
Arkadiusz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Buklat)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Arkadiusz form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBuklat 1.83 / Arkadiusz 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Buklat)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13093364
Buklat1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Arkadiusz1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBuklat8wins
AwayArkadiusz2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBuklat leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBuklat100%8 of 8
AwayArkadiuszn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Buklat8Arkadiusz2n = 10Buklat took 8 of 10
S2Buklat6Arkadiusz4n = 10Buklat took 6 of 10
S3Buklat5Arkadiusz5n = 10split evenly
S4Buklat2Arkadiusz6n = 8Arkadiusz took 6 of 8
S5Buklat5Arkadiusz0n = 5Buklat took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuklatArkadiuszB − ABasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match44.942.6+2.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuklatArkadiuszBasisWin rate · lifetime269 / 472 vs 553 / 98957%55.9%269 / 472 vs 553 / 989Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.241.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuklatBuklat 1.83/Arkadiusz 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Buklat · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Arkadiusz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 15:30L. Buklat—6811111W. Arkadiusz—11119133
WAug 31 · 14:30L. Buklat—149815113W. Arkadiusz—1211111392
WAug 30 · 07:35L. Buklat—11713133W. Arkadiusz—91111111
WAug 26 · 21:00L. Buklat—1111129113W. Arkadiusz—79141162
LAug 24 · 17:00L. Buklat—911871W. Arkadiusz—11911113
WAug 17 · 15:30L. Buklat—1111113W. Arkadiusz—7770
WAug 10 · 16:30L. Buklat—126112113W. Arkadiusz—101141182
WAug 9 · 17:05L. Buklat—111178203W. Arkadiusz—871111182
WAug 7 · 07:00L. Buklat—1111713133W. Arkadiusz—571115112
WAug 3 · 17:00L. Buklat—1114113W. Arkadiusz—51290
L. Buklat10
LSep 7 · 16:00P. Odelski1.7311711113L. Buklat1.92911831LSep 2 · 22:10L. Buklat2.1599110K. Patryk1.611111133WSep 2 · 21:00L. Buklat2.1581311133K. Patryk1.5811116111WSep 2 · 19:00J. Komorowicz2.439111041L. Buklat1.4511912113WSep 2 · 17:00P. Kamil1.80119661L. Buklat1.9161111113LSep 2 · 16:00P. Odelski1.7711118143L. Buklat1.938611121LSep 2 · 15:30L. Buklat1.886811111W. Arkadiusz1.8211119133WAug 31 · 22:10K. Patryk1.47171280L. Buklat2.371914113LAug 31 · 20:00P. Kamil1.821412710113L. Buklat1.881210111262WAug 31 · 19:00L. Buklat1.3711115113J. Komorowicz2.70851161
W. Arkadiusz10
LSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk1.601091711113W. Arkadiusz2.10121115892LSep 2 · 22:40P. Odelski1.591111113W. Arkadiusz2.138890LSep 2 · 20:30P. Odelski1.6414711113W. Arkadiusz2.031211781WSep 2 · 19:30K. Patryk1.5781170W. Arkadiusz2.171113113WSep 2 · 18:00J. Komorowicz2.5512811982W. Arkadiusz1.421011911113WSep 2 · 15:30L. Buklat1.886811111W. Arkadiusz1.8211119133LSep 2 · 14:00P. Kamil1.9016911113W. Arkadiusz1.801411471LSep 1 · 22:00W. Arkadiusz1.8511119582P. Kamil1.85791111113WSep 1 · 20:30P. Kamil1.7358100W. Arkadiusz1.981111123LSep 1 · 19:30K. Patryk1.47119611123W. Arkadiusz2.50511112102
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