TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13065737
Played Sep 2Finished
Piotr Odelski
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8119111191210113
Kiejda Patryk
Away
1.72
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:39 and never touched — 56.8% is still 56.8%
Graded at full timeKiejda Patryk to win
56.8%
56.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
8119111191210113
H2H Piotr Odelski 3–8 Kiejda Patryk Piotr Odelski has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:39What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.72 (54%)
Patryk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-8 in 11
Patryk
Wrong
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Odelski 1504 vs Patryk 1490
Odelski
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Odelski 80% vs Patryk 60%
Odelski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Odelski 70% vs Patryk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Odelski +2 · Patryk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Patryk) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Odelski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOdelski 2.00 / Patryk 1.72
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Patryk)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13065737
Odelski2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 12 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back31% 5 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Patryk1.72
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 92 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it95% 52 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it79% 72 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOdelski3wins
AwayPatryk7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPatryk leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOdelski60%3 of 5
AwayPatryk100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Odelski5Patryk5n = 10split evenly
S2Odelski4Patryk6n = 10Patryk took 6 of 10
S3Odelski7Patryk3n = 10Odelski took 7 of 10
S4Odelski5Patryk4n = 9Odelski took 5 of 9
S5Odelski0Patryk5n = 5Patryk took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricOdelskiPatrykO − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.541.6−1.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOdelskiPatrykBasisWin rate · lifetime27 / 48 vs 173 / 30356.3%57.1%27 / 48 vs 173 / 303Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.939.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PatrykOdelski 2.00/Patryk 1.72
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.4%
Patryk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Odelski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 20:30P. Odelski—671141K. Patryk—11116113
WAug 26 · 21:40P. Odelski—111110113K. Patryk—961221
LAug 26 · 18:30P. Odelski—41111892K. Patryk—118711113
WAug 25 · 22:30P. Odelski—1111133K. Patryk—73110
LAug 25 · 20:00P. Odelski—981111102K. Patryk—111179123
LAug 24 · 20:30P. Odelski—861461K. Patryk—111112113
LAug 18 · 17:00P. Odelski—111211962K. Patryk—714411113
LAug 17 · 19:00P. Odelski—12721182K. Patryk—1011118113
LAug 15 · 22:35P. Odelski—71171182K. Patryk—118119113
WAug 15 · 17:35P. Odelski—13511113K. Patryk—1111591
P. Odelski10
WSep 7 · 16:30W. Dariusz5.7549111162P. Odelski1.12111165113WSep 7 · 16:00P. Odelski1.7311711113L. Buklat1.92911831WSep 2 · 22:40P. Odelski1.591111113W. Arkadiusz2.138890WSep 2 · 20:30P. Odelski1.6414711113W. Arkadiusz2.031211781WSep 2 · 18:30P. Kamil2.25671171P. Odelski1.5811118113WSep 2 · 16:30J. Komorowicz2.22811651P. Odelski1.5411811113WSep 2 · 16:00P. Odelski1.7711118143L. Buklat1.938611121WAug 31 · 22:40P. Odelski1.758111111113P. Kamil1.9811135892LAug 31 · 20:30P. Odelski2.15671141K. Patryk1.6211116113WAug 31 · 18:30P. Kamil1.98591161P. Odelski1.7511119113
K. Patryk10
LSep 7 · 15:00K. Patryk1.50614551K. Kos2.30111211113WSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk1.601091711113W. Arkadiusz2.10121115892WSep 2 · 22:10L. Buklat2.1599110K. Patryk1.611111133LSep 2 · 21:00L. Buklat2.1581311133K. Patryk1.5811116111LSep 2 · 19:30K. Patryk1.5781170W. Arkadiusz2.171113113WSep 2 · 15:00P. Kamil2.20471231K. Patryk1.58111110113WSep 2 · 14:30J. Komorowicz2.9512116542K. Patryk1.361091111113LSep 1 · 22:30J. Komorowicz3.30811126133K. Patryk1.291191011112LSep 1 · 21:00J. Komorowicz2.901111133K. Patryk1.3399110WAug 31 · 20:30P. Odelski2.15671141K. Patryk1.6211116113
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