TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13093734
Played Sep 7Finished
Kiejda Patryk
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118119811117––
Lukasz Buklat
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukasz Buklat to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
118119811117––
H2H Kiejda Patryk 21–15 Lukasz Buklat Lukasz Buklat has won 15 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:53What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Patryk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-15 in 36
Patryk
Correct
gap of 6 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Patryk 1460 vs Buklat 1420
Patryk
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Patryk 40% vs Buklat 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Patryk 40% vs Buklat 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Patryk -1 · Buklat -3
Buklat
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Patryk) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Patryk form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPatryk 1.57 / Buklat 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Patryk)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13093734
Patryk1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 95 of 159
Up 2–0, closes it93% 54 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it78% 74 of 95
Buklat2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog49% won 27 of 55
Down 0–1, comes back25% 7 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePatryk7wins
AwayBuklat3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPatryk leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePatryk87.5%7 of 8
AwayBuklatn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Patryk8Buklat2n = 10Patryk took 8 of 10
S2Patryk6Buklat4n = 10Patryk took 6 of 10
S3Patryk6Buklat4n = 10Patryk took 6 of 10
S4Patryk3Buklat2n = 5Patryk took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPatrykBuklatP − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.831.9+6.9per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPatrykBuklatBasisWin rate · lifetime175 / 309 vs 267 / 46956.6%56.9%175 / 309 vs 267 / 469Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PatrykPatryk 1.57/Buklat 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Patryk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Patryk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 22:10K. Patryk—1111133L. Buklat—99110
LSep 2 · 21:00K. Patryk—11116111L. Buklat—81311133
LAug 31 · 22:10K. Patryk—171280L. Buklat—1914113
WAug 31 · 18:00K. Patryk—1212113L. Buklat—101060
WAug 30 · 14:35K. Patryk—11711113L. Buklat—611361
WAug 30 · 06:05K. Patryk—1111113L. Buklat—8930
WAug 26 · 17:00K. Patryk—119119113L. Buklat—31191162
WAug 24 · 15:30K. Patryk—1111113L. Buklat—2350
LAug 17 · 22:40K. Patryk—81191152L. Buklat—118117113
WAug 17 · 17:00K. Patryk—11118113L. Buklat—741191
K. Patryk10
LSep 7 · 15:00K. Patryk1.50614551K. Kos2.30111211113WSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk1.601091711113W. Arkadiusz2.10121115892WSep 2 · 22:10L. Buklat2.1599110K. Patryk1.611111133LSep 2 · 21:00L. Buklat2.1581311133K. Patryk1.5811116111LSep 2 · 19:30K. Patryk1.5781170W. Arkadiusz2.171113113LSep 2 · 17:30P. Odelski2.00891112113K. Patryk1.72111191032WSep 2 · 15:00P. Kamil2.20471231K. Patryk1.58111110113WSep 2 · 14:30J. Komorowicz2.9512116542K. Patryk1.361091111113LSep 1 · 22:30J. Komorowicz3.30811126133K. Patryk1.291191011112LSep 1 · 21:00J. Komorowicz2.901111133K. Patryk1.3399110
L. Buklat10
LSep 7 · 16:00P. Odelski1.7311711113L. Buklat1.92911831LSep 7 · 15:30L. Buklat1.8369100W. Arkadiusz1.831111123LSep 2 · 22:10L. Buklat2.1599110K. Patryk1.611111133WSep 2 · 21:00L. Buklat2.1581311133K. Patryk1.5811116111WSep 2 · 19:00J. Komorowicz2.439111041L. Buklat1.4511912113WSep 2 · 17:00P. Kamil1.80119661L. Buklat1.9161111113LSep 2 · 16:00P. Odelski1.7711118143L. Buklat1.938611121LSep 2 · 15:30L. Buklat1.886811111W. Arkadiusz1.8211119133WAug 31 · 22:10K. Patryk1.47171280L. Buklat2.371914113LAug 31 · 20:00P. Kamil1.821412710113L. Buklat1.881210111262
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