TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13059548
Played Sep 1Finished
Filip Baranski
Home
2.11
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711119119611118
Jakub Komorowicz
Away
1.60
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Komorowicz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
94 points played in total.
Set by set
711119119611118
H2H Filip Baranski 1–2 Jakub Komorowicz Filip Baranski has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:48What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Komorowicz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Baranski 1122 vs Komorowicz 1371
Komorowicz
Wrong
both rated, 250 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Baranski 20% vs Komorowicz 60%
Komorowicz
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Baranski 30% vs Komorowicz 50%
Komorowicz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Baranski -4 · Komorowicz +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Komorowicz) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baranski form (20%) is below what odds imply (47%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBaranski 2.11 / Komorowicz 1.60
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Komorowicz)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13059548
Baranski2.11
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Komorowicz1.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 60 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it100% 29 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it91% 42 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBaranski1wins
AwayKomorowicz2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderKomorowicz leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Baranski2Komorowicz1n = 3Baranski took 2 of 3
S2Baranski2Komorowicz1n = 3Baranski took 2 of 3
S3Baranski1Komorowicz2n = 3Komorowicz took 2 of 3
S4Baranski0Komorowicz3n = 3Komorowicz took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricBaranskiKomorowiczB − KBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match45.749.0−3.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBaranskiKomorowiczBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 26 vs 217 / 47423.1%45.8%6 / 26 vs 217 / 474Avg sets wonper match1.52.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KomorowiczBaranski 2.11/Komorowicz 1.60
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.9%
Komorowicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Baranski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 14 · 16:30F. Baranski—11204792J. Komorowicz—5181111113
LJul 19 · 07:35F. Baranski—1113281J. Komorowicz—41511113
WJul 4 · 06:35F. Baranski—8111111113J. Komorowicz—11981392
F. Baranski10
WSep 1 · 21:30F. Baranski1.59114711123K. Kos2.24711116102WSep 1 · 20:00F. Baranski2.85138119113K. Kos1.33111151182LSep 1 · 18:30F. Baranski—61111562P. Kamil—114911113LSep 1 · 15:00F. Baranski—51161552K. Patryk—1151113113LSep 1 · 14:00F. Baranski—9960W. Arkadiusz—1111113LAug 14 · 21:40P. Kamil—11111113F. Baranski—411551LAug 14 · 20:30F. Baranski1.8113611131W. Arkadiusz1.8315117153WAug 14 · 18:30P. Kamil—121169112F. Baranski—1061111133LAug 14 · 17:30F. Baranski2.2211101081J. Caban1.5491212113LAug 14 · 16:30J. Komorowicz1.515181111113F. Baranski2.2911204792
J. Komorowicz10
WSep 2 · 21:40P. Kamil1.6311811892J. Komorowicz2.15811811113LSep 2 · 20:00P. Kamil1.78111110113J. Komorowicz1.91671291LSep 2 · 19:00J. Komorowicz2.439111041L. Buklat1.4511912113LSep 2 · 18:00J. Komorowicz2.5512811982W. Arkadiusz1.421011911113LSep 2 · 16:30J. Komorowicz2.22811651P. Odelski1.5411811113LSep 2 · 14:30J. Komorowicz2.9512116542K. Patryk1.361091111113WSep 1 · 22:30J. Komorowicz3.30811126133K. Patryk1.291191011112WSep 1 · 21:00J. Komorowicz2.901111133K. Patryk1.3399110LSep 1 · 19:00K. Kos1.611111123J. Komorowicz2.0985100WAug 14 · 16:30J. Komorowicz1.515181111113F. Baranski2.2911204792
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