TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12434813
Played Aug 14Finished
Filip Baranski
Home
2.22
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11910121012811––
Jakub Caban
Away
1.54
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Caban to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
83 points played in total.
Set by set
11910121012811––
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:31What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (59%)
Caban
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Baranski 1135 vs Caban 1432
Caban
Correct
both rated, 297 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Baranski 40% vs Caban 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Baranski 30% vs Caban 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Baranski -2 · Caban +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Caban) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Caban form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBaranski 2.22 / Caban 1.54
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Caban)-0.0pp
TT Cup · #12434813
Baranski2.22
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Caban1.54
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 51 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it68% 38 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBaranskiCabanBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 20 vs 245 / 44125%55.6%5 / 20 vs 245 / 441Avg sets wonper match1.62.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.440.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
CabanBaranski 2.22/Caban 1.54
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59%
Caban · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Caban won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
F. Baranski10
WSep 1 · 21:30F. Baranski1.59114711123K. Kos2.24711116102WSep 1 · 20:00F. Baranski2.85138119113K. Kos1.33111151182LSep 1 · 18:30F. Baranski—61111562P. Kamil—114911113WSep 1 · 17:00F. Baranski2.11711116113J. Komorowicz1.6011991182LSep 1 · 15:00F. Baranski—51161552K. Patryk—1151113113LSep 1 · 14:00F. Baranski—9960W. Arkadiusz—1111113LAug 14 · 21:40P. Kamil—11111113F. Baranski—411551LAug 14 · 20:30F. Baranski1.8113611131W. Arkadiusz1.8315117153WAug 14 · 18:30P. Kamil—121169112F. Baranski—1061111133LAug 14 · 16:30J. Komorowicz1.515181111113F. Baranski2.2911204792
J. Caban10
WAug 14 · 22:10J. Caban—1111143P. Kedzierski—79120WAug 14 · 21:00P. Kedzierski2.401171151J. Caban1.5113117113LAug 14 · 19:30J. Caban1.471171112172W. Arkadiusz2.39511914193WAug 14 · 15:00P. Kamil1.62661181J. Caban2.1511119113LAug 14 · 14:30J. Komorowicz2.097111212133J. Caban1.611191014112WJul 13 · 21:40J. Caban—1510117113J. Komorowicz—131281192LJul 13 · 20:30J. Caban—57111652P. Kamil—1111514113LJul 13 · 18:30K. Patryk1.739111011113J. Caban1.9811912972WJul 13 · 17:30J. Caban1.63141198113J. Komorowicz2.06124111172LJul 13 · 16:30L. Buklat1.5911911113J. Caban2.12911481
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.