TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12430730
Played Aug 14Finished
Jakub Komorowicz
Home
2.09
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711119121012141311
Jakub Caban
Away
1.61
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:30 and never touched — 54.4% is still 54.4%
Graded at full timeJakub Caban to win
54.4%
54.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
110 points played in total.
Set by set
711119121012141311
H2H Jakub Komorowicz 6–15 Jakub Caban Jakub Komorowicz has won 6 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:30What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (56%)
Caban
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-15 in 21
Caban
Wrong
gap of 9 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Komorowicz 1370 vs Caban 1420
Caban
Wrong
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Komorowicz 60% vs Caban 40%
Komorowicz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Komorowicz 60% vs Caban 30%
Komorowicz
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Komorowicz +1 · Caban +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Caban) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Caban form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKomorowicz 2.09 / Caban 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Caban)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #12430730
Komorowicz2.09
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 70 of 164
Down 0–1, comes back21% 20 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 47
Caban1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 51 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it68% 38 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKomorowicz3wins
AwayCaban7wins
7 of 10 to a deciderCaban leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKomorowicz33.3%1 of 3
AwayCaban71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Komorowicz3Caban7n = 10Caban took 7 of 10
S2Komorowicz4Caban6n = 10Caban took 6 of 10
S3Komorowicz5Caban5n = 10split evenly
S4Komorowicz8Caban1n = 9Komorowicz took 8 of 9
S5Komorowicz1Caban6n = 7Caban took 6 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away660%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKomorowiczCabanK − CBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match44.547.3−2.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKomorowiczCabanBasisWin rate · lifetime193 / 419 vs 244 / 43946.1%55.6%193 / 419 vs 244 / 439Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CabanKomorowicz 2.09/Caban 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.5%
Caban · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Komorowicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 13 · 21:40J. Komorowicz—131281192J. Caban—1510117113
LJul 13 · 17:30J. Komorowicz—124111172J. Caban—141198113
WJun 30 · 21:00J. Komorowicz—11511113J. Caban—911641
LJun 24 · 18:30J. Komorowicz—51281282J. Caban—11101110113
WJun 9 · 15:30J. Komorowicz—151113113J. Caban—1791181
LJun 1 · 18:30J. Komorowicz—11781192J. Caban—911118113
LMay 25 · 17:30J. Komorowicz—510100J. Caban—1112123
WMay 16 · 06:35J. Komorowicz—711116133J. Caban—117911112
LMay 12 · 19:00J. Komorowicz—111181172J. Caban—713118113
LApr 30 · 14:30J. Komorowicz—109111342J. Caban—1211911113
J. Komorowicz10
WSep 2 · 21:40P. Kamil1.6311811892J. Komorowicz2.15811811113LSep 2 · 20:00P. Kamil1.78111110113J. Komorowicz1.91671291LSep 2 · 19:00J. Komorowicz2.439111041L. Buklat1.4511912113LSep 2 · 18:00J. Komorowicz2.5512811982W. Arkadiusz1.421011911113LSep 2 · 16:30J. Komorowicz2.22811651P. Odelski1.5411811113LSep 2 · 14:30J. Komorowicz2.9512116542K. Patryk1.361091111113WSep 1 · 22:30J. Komorowicz3.30811126133K. Patryk1.291191011112WSep 1 · 21:00J. Komorowicz2.901111133K. Patryk1.3399110LSep 1 · 19:00K. Kos1.611111123J. Komorowicz2.0985100LSep 1 · 17:00F. Baranski2.11711116113J. Komorowicz1.6011991182
J. Caban10
WAug 14 · 22:10J. Caban—1111143P. Kedzierski—79120WAug 14 · 21:00P. Kedzierski2.401171151J. Caban1.5113117113LAug 14 · 19:30J. Caban1.471171112172W. Arkadiusz2.39511914193WAug 14 · 17:30F. Baranski2.2211101081J. Caban1.5491212113WAug 14 · 15:00P. Kamil1.62661181J. Caban2.1511119113WJul 13 · 21:40J. Caban—1510117113J. Komorowicz—131281192LJul 13 · 20:30J. Caban—57111652P. Kamil—1111514113LJul 13 · 18:30K. Patryk1.739111011113J. Caban1.9811912972WJul 13 · 17:30J. Caban1.63141198113J. Komorowicz2.06124111172LJul 13 · 16:30L. Buklat1.5911911113J. Caban2.12911481
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