TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12435367
Played Aug 14Finished
Jakub Caban
Home
1.47
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11571111912141719
Wiekiera Arkadiusz
Away
2.39
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:26 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeJakub Caban to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
116 points played in total.
Set by set
11571111912141719
H2H Jakub Caban 34–37 Wiekiera Arkadiusz Jakub Caban has won 34 of their 71 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:26What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.47 (62%)
Caban
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-37 in 71
Arkadiusz
Correct
gap of 3 in 71, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Caban 1425 vs Arkadiusz 1449
Arkadiusz
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Caban 60% vs Arkadiusz 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Caban 50% vs Arkadiusz 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Caban +2 · Arkadiusz +3
Arkadiusz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Caban)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Arkadiusz form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCaban 1.47 / Arkadiusz 2.39
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Caban)+1.0pp
TT Cup · #12435367
Caban1.47
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 51 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it68% 38 of 56
Arkadiusz2.39
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog54% won 47 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back28% 11 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCaban5wins
AwayArkadiusz5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCaban62.5%5 of 8
AwayArkadiuszn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Caban8Arkadiusz2n = 10Caban took 8 of 10
S2Caban5Arkadiusz5n = 10split evenly
S3Caban4Arkadiusz6n = 10Arkadiusz took 6 of 10
S4Caban2Arkadiusz7n = 9Arkadiusz took 7 of 9
S5Caban3Arkadiusz2n = 5Caban took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricCabanArkadiuszC − ABasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match45.445.3+0.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCabanArkadiuszBasisWin rate · lifetime246 / 443 vs 556 / 98455.5%56.5%246 / 443 vs 556 / 984Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match40.041.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CabanCaban 1.47/Arkadiusz 2.39
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.9%
Caban · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Arkadiusz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 14 · 19:30J. Caban—1171112172W. Arkadiusz—511914193
LJul 13 · 16:00J. Caban—913891W. Arkadiusz—111111113
WJul 6 · 22:10J. Caban—12811113W. Arkadiusz—1011991
LJul 6 · 21:00J. Caban—118771W. Arkadiusz—91111113
LJun 30 · 22:00J. Caban—111091282W. Arkadiusz—5121110113
WJun 30 · 19:00J. Caban—1311108113W. Arkadiusz—115121172
LJun 9 · 19:00J. Caban—10114121W. Arkadiusz—12811143
WJun 1 · 20:30J. Caban—11121010143W. Arkadiusz—9101212122
WMay 25 · 16:30J. Caban—1111113W. Arkadiusz—9980
WMay 16 · 10:05J. Caban—1161113113W. Arkadiusz—71191572
J. Caban10
WAug 14 · 22:10J. Caban—1111143P. Kedzierski—79120WAug 14 · 21:00P. Kedzierski2.401171151J. Caban1.5113117113WAug 14 · 17:30F. Baranski2.2211101081J. Caban1.5491212113WAug 14 · 15:00P. Kamil1.62661181J. Caban2.1511119113LAug 14 · 14:30J. Komorowicz2.097111212133J. Caban1.611191014112WJul 13 · 21:40J. Caban—1510117113J. Komorowicz—131281192LJul 13 · 20:30J. Caban—57111652P. Kamil—1111514113LJul 13 · 18:30K. Patryk1.739111011113J. Caban1.9811912972WJul 13 · 17:30J. Caban1.63141198113J. Komorowicz2.06124111172LJul 13 · 16:30L. Buklat1.5911911113J. Caban2.12911481
W. Arkadiusz10
WSep 7 · 18:00W. Dariusz—912761W. Arkadiusz—111011113WSep 7 · 15:30L. Buklat1.8369100W. Arkadiusz1.831111123LSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk1.601091711113W. Arkadiusz2.10121115892LSep 2 · 22:40P. Odelski1.591111113W. Arkadiusz2.138890LSep 2 · 20:30P. Odelski1.6414711113W. Arkadiusz2.031211781WSep 2 · 19:30K. Patryk1.5781170W. Arkadiusz2.171113113WSep 2 · 18:00J. Komorowicz2.5512811982W. Arkadiusz1.421011911113WSep 2 · 15:30L. Buklat1.886811111W. Arkadiusz1.8211119133LSep 2 · 14:00P. Kamil1.9016911113W. Arkadiusz1.801411471LSep 1 · 22:00W. Arkadiusz1.8511119582P. Kamil1.85791111113
Upcoming Matches
J. Caban
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W. Arkadiusz
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