TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13094358
Played Sep 7Finished
Piotr Odelski
Home
1.55
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119911115119––
Wiekiera Arkadiusz
Away
2.30
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:46 and never touched — 66.6% is still 66.6%
Graded at full timePiotr Odelski to win
66.6%
66.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
119911115119––
H2H Piotr Odelski 7–3 Wiekiera Arkadiusz Wiekiera Arkadiusz has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:46What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (60%)
Odelski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-3 in 10
Odelski
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Odelski 1581 vs Arkadiusz 1434
Odelski
Correct
both rated, 146 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Odelski 100% vs Arkadiusz 60%
Odelski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Odelski 100% vs Arkadiusz 60%
Odelski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Odelski +5 · Arkadiusz +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Odelski) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Arkadiusz form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOdelski 1.55 / Arkadiusz 2.30
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Odelski)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13094358
Odelski1.55
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite71% won 17 of 24
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Arkadiusz2.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog53% won 54 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back29% 14 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOdelski7wins
AwayArkadiusz3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderOdelski leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOdelski100%5 of 5
AwayArkadiusz60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Odelski5Arkadiusz5n = 10split evenly
S2Odelski7Arkadiusz3n = 10Odelski took 7 of 10
S3Odelski8Arkadiusz2n = 10Odelski took 8 of 10
S4Odelski2Arkadiusz5n = 7Arkadiusz took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricOdelskiArkadiuszO − ABasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.835.1+3.7per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOdelskiArkadiuszBasisWin rate · lifetime36 / 57 vs 555 / 98863.2%56.2%36 / 57 vs 555 / 988Avg sets wonper match2.42.2per matchAvg pointsper match41.041.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OdelskiOdelski 1.55/Arkadiusz 2.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Odelski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Odelski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 22:40P. Odelski—1111113W. Arkadiusz—8890
WSep 2 · 20:30P. Odelski—14711113W. Arkadiusz—1211781
WAug 31 · 17:30P. Odelski—1111113W. Arkadiusz—4750
WAug 26 · 17:30P. Odelski—101112113W. Arkadiusz—1251081
WAug 25 · 14:00P. Odelski—1111113W. Arkadiusz—5950
LAug 24 · 18:30P. Odelski—1011861W. Arkadiusz—12911113
WAug 17 · 22:10P. Odelski—111168113W. Arkadiusz—97111172
LAug 17 · 14:30P. Odelski—1081171W. Arkadiusz—12119113
WAug 11 · 12:30P. Odelski—911115113W. Arkadiusz—11671182
LAug 11 · 09:30P. Odelski—6121181W. Arkadiusz—11148113
P. Odelski10
WSep 7 · 22:30P. Odelski1.511111113W. Arkadiusz2.406950WSep 7 · 18:30K. Patryk1.82411561P. Odelski1.8811611113WSep 7 · 17:30P. Odelski1.6011911113K. Kos2.11711881WSep 7 · 16:30W. Dariusz5.7549111162P. Odelski1.12111165113WSep 7 · 16:00P. Odelski1.7311711113L. Buklat1.92911831WSep 2 · 22:40P. Odelski1.591111113W. Arkadiusz2.138890WSep 2 · 20:30P. Odelski1.6414711113W. Arkadiusz2.031211781WSep 2 · 18:30P. Kamil2.25671171P. Odelski1.5811118113WSep 2 · 17:30P. Odelski2.00891112113K. Patryk1.72111191032WSep 2 · 16:30J. Komorowicz2.22811651P. Odelski1.5411811113
W. Arkadiusz10
LSep 7 · 22:30P. Odelski1.511111113W. Arkadiusz2.406950WSep 7 · 19:30K. Kos1.7079110W. Arkadiusz1.951111133WSep 7 · 18:00W. Dariusz—912761W. Arkadiusz—111011113WSep 7 · 15:30L. Buklat1.8369100W. Arkadiusz1.831111123LSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk1.601091711113W. Arkadiusz2.10121115892LSep 2 · 22:40P. Odelski1.591111113W. Arkadiusz2.138890LSep 2 · 20:30P. Odelski1.6414711113W. Arkadiusz2.031211781WSep 2 · 19:30K. Patryk1.5781170W. Arkadiusz2.171113113WSep 2 · 18:00J. Komorowicz2.5512811982W. Arkadiusz1.421011911113WSep 2 · 15:30L. Buklat1.886811111W. Arkadiusz1.8211119133
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