TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13106550
Played Sep 10Finished
Piotr Odelski
Home
1.52
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118111511116––
Bilski Bartosz
Away
2.27
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:23 and never touched — 60.4% is still 60.4%
Graded at full timePiotr Odelski to win
60.4%
60.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
64 points played in total.
Set by set
118111511116––
H2H Piotr Odelski 1–0 Bilski Bartosz Bilski Bartosz has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:23What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.52 (60%)
Odelski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Odelski 1606 vs Bartosz 1468
Odelski
Correct
both rated, 138 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Odelski 100% vs Bartosz 40%
Odelski
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Odelski 100% vs Bartosz 50%
Odelski
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Odelski +5 · Bartosz -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Odelski) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Odelski form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (66%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOdelski 1.52 / Bartosz 2.27
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Odelski)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13106550
Odelski1.52
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite76% won 22 of 29
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Bartosz2.27
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 15 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back14% 3 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeOdelski1wins
AwayBartosz0wins
Odelski leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricOdelskiBartoszO − BBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match38.026.0+12.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOdelskiBartoszBasisWin rate · lifetime39 / 60 vs 110 / 21265%51.9%39 / 60 vs 110 / 212Avg sets wonper match2.41.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.935.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OdelskiOdelski 1.52/Bartosz 2.27
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.9%
Odelski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Odelski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 10 · 15:30P. Odelski—11115113B. Bartosz—811161
P. Odelski10
LSep 10 · 17:00K. Guzy1.761141112113P. Odelski1.90711131092WSep 10 · 16:00K. Zapala2.608860P. Odelski1.411111113WSep 7 · 22:30P. Odelski1.511111113W. Arkadiusz2.406950WSep 7 · 20:30P. Odelski1.5511911113W. Arkadiusz2.30911591WSep 7 · 18:30K. Patryk1.82411561P. Odelski1.8811611113WSep 7 · 17:30P. Odelski1.6011911113K. Kos2.11711881WSep 7 · 16:30W. Dariusz5.7549111162P. Odelski1.12111165113WSep 7 · 16:00P. Odelski1.7311711113L. Buklat1.92911831WSep 2 · 22:40P. Odelski1.591111113W. Arkadiusz2.138890WSep 2 · 20:30P. Odelski1.6414711113W. Arkadiusz2.031211781
B. Bartosz10
LSep 10 · 14:00K. Guzy1.511113115113B. Bartosz2.2991531172LAug 20 · 22:00K. Zapala—1113113B. Bartosz—61190LAug 20 · 20:30K. Zapala1.451111113B. Bartosz2.438780WAug 20 · 19:30B. Gola1.404330B. Bartosz2.601111113WAug 20 · 18:00D. Bucko1.47116581B. Bartosz2.3991111113WAug 20 · 15:30P. Kos1.68911671B. Bartosz1.9811511113LAug 20 · 14:00K. Kowalewski1.371113113B. Bartosz2.7041140WJun 27 · 13:35D. Kovtanyuk—4460B. Bartosz—1111113LJun 27 · 13:05B. Bartosz—5820D. Kovtanyuk—1111113WJun 27 · 11:05P. Kos1.83127119112B. Bartosz1.811011811133
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