TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13110779
Played Sep 10Finished
Damian Bucko
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1161171214811119
Bilski Bartosz
Away
2.60
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:46 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timeDamian Bucko to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
100 points played in total.
Set by set
1161171214811119
H2H Damian Bucko 11–10 Bilski Bartosz Bilski Bartosz has won 10 of their 21 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:46What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (65%)
Bucko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-10 in 21
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bucko 1591 vs Bartosz 1453
Bucko
Correct
both rated, 137 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bucko 60% vs Bartosz 0%
Bucko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bucko 50% vs Bartosz 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bucko +1 · Bartosz -5
Bartosz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Bucko) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bartosz form (0%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBucko 1.40 / Bartosz 2.60
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Bucko)+0.6pp
TT Cup · #13110779
Bucko1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite48% won 43 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it76% 31 of 41
Bartosz2.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 15 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back14% 3 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBucko5wins
AwayBartosz5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBucko75%3 of 4
AwayBartosz66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bucko4Bartosz6n = 10Bartosz took 6 of 10
S2Bucko4Bartosz6n = 10Bartosz took 6 of 10
S3Bucko4Bartosz6n = 10Bartosz took 6 of 10
S4Bucko3Bartosz5n = 8Bartosz took 5 of 8
S5Bucko3Bartosz0n = 3Bucko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuckoBartoszBucko − BartoszBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.941.0−3.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuckoBartoszBasisWin rate · lifetime332 / 601 vs 110 / 21355.2%51.6%332 / 601 vs 110 / 213Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.935.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuckoBucko 1.40/Bartosz 2.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.6%
Bucko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Bucko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 20 · 18:00D. Bucko—116581B. Bartosz—91111113
LApr 29 · 20:00D. Bucko—1111841B. Bartosz—13911113
LApr 23 · 14:30D. Bucko—6780B. Bartosz—1111113
WApr 16 · 15:30D. Bucko—1211133113B. Bartosz—149111142
WApr 11 · 22:05D. Bucko—11813113B. Bartosz—6111181
WApr 1 · 17:00D. Bucko—41114113B. Bartosz—1111261
LFeb 28 · 22:05D. Bucko—1314951B. Bartosz—151211113
LFeb 8 · 14:05D. Bucko—9540B. Bartosz—1111113
WFeb 2 · 20:30D. Bucko—163118113B. Bartosz—141181142
WJan 7 · 20:30D. Bucko—1111911113B. Bartosz—81311952
D. Bucko10
WSep 10 · 17:30K. Zapala2.1091511882D. Bucko1.601113511113LSep 10 · 15:00K. Guzy1.87411711113D. Bucko1.8311711692WSep 10 · 14:30A. Duch1.61127111172D. Bucko2.201011813113WSep 5 · 23:05K. Zapala1.85154110D. Bucko1.851711133LSep 5 · 21:05D. Bucko1.83511941K. Guzy1.8811711113WSep 5 · 19:35D. Bucko1.801111113K. Zapala1.913950LSep 5 · 18:05D. Bucko2.1511118782A. Duch1.61871111113LSep 5 · 16:05D. Bucko1.991185111M. Szymanski1.6771111133WSep 5 · 15:05D. Bucko2.50411118113K. Kowalewski1.4611561172LSep 4 · 22:10K. Kowalewski1.5011119123D. Bucko2.457811101
B. Bartosz10
WSep 10 · 20:30K. Zapala1.87511812112B. Bartosz1.831191110133LSep 10 · 18:00A. Duch1.311111113B. Bartosz3.005980LSep 10 · 15:30P. Odelski1.5211115113B. Bartosz2.27811161LSep 10 · 14:00K. Guzy1.511113115113B. Bartosz2.2991531172LAug 20 · 22:00K. Zapala—1113113B. Bartosz—61190LAug 20 · 20:30K. Zapala1.451111113B. Bartosz2.438780WAug 20 · 19:30B. Gola1.404330B. Bartosz2.601111113WAug 20 · 18:00D. Bucko1.47116581B. Bartosz2.3991111113WAug 20 · 15:30P. Kos1.68911671B. Bartosz1.9811511113LAug 20 · 14:00K. Kowalewski1.371113113B. Bartosz2.7041140
Upcoming Matches
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