TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13110700
Played Sep 10Finished
Adam Duch
Home
1.31
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115119118––––
Bilski Bartosz
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:23 and never touched — 67.0% is still 67.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Duch to win
67.0%
67.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
115119118––––
H2H Adam Duch 24–12 Bilski Bartosz Bilski Bartosz has won 12 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:23What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.31 (70%)
Duch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-12 in 36
Duch
Correct
gap of 12 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Duch 1647 vs Bartosz 1461
Duch
Correct
both rated, 187 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Duch 80% vs Bartosz 20%
Duch
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Duch 80% vs Bartosz 40%
Duch
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Duch +1 · Bartosz -4
Bartosz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Duch) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bartosz form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDuch 1.31 / Bartosz 3.00
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Duch)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13110700
Duch1.31
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 117 of 189
Up 2–0, closes it94% 65 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it78% 84 of 108
Bartosz3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 15 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back14% 3 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDuch7wins
AwayBartosz3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDuch leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDuch100%5 of 5
AwayBartosz60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Duch5Bartosz5n = 10split evenly
S2Duch4Bartosz6n = 10Bartosz took 6 of 10
S3Duch8Bartosz2n = 10Duch took 8 of 10
S4Duch4Bartosz4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDuchBartoszD − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.238.6+1.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDuchBartoszBasisWin rate · lifetime448 / 754 vs 110 / 21259.4%51.9%448 / 754 vs 110 / 212Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.835.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DuchDuch 1.31/Bartosz 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.8%
Duch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Duch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WApr 23 · 22:00A. Duch—111011133B. Bartosz—8126111
WApr 23 · 21:00A. Duch—1111133B. Bartosz—78110
LApr 11 · 22:35A. Duch—812941B. Bartosz—111011113
WApr 11 · 20:05A. Duch—111111123B. Bartosz—7139101
LMar 30 · 22:40A. Duch—7911111B. Bartosz—11117133
WMar 30 · 19:30A. Duch—111111113B. Bartosz—913851
WMar 29 · 14:05A. Duch—711127133B. Bartosz—1151011112
WMar 29 · 11:35A. Duch—11101112113B. Bartosz—81271482
WMar 28 · 16:00A. Duch—71111113B. Bartosz—118871
LMar 7 · 20:35A. Duch—5840B. Bartosz—1111113
A. Duch10
WSep 10 · 16:30A. Duch1.39711116153K. Zapala2.65118511132LSep 10 · 14:30A. Duch1.61127111172D. Bucko2.201011813113WSep 6 · 14:45A. Duch2.0051111123P. Kos1.741168101WSep 6 · 13:05K. Guzy1.9813811562A. Duch1.751111711113WSep 6 · 11:35A. Duch1.541111106113M. Szymanski2.2248121172WSep 6 · 09:35P. Kos2.506990A. Duch1.471111113LSep 6 · 07:05K. Kowalewski1.741111113A. Duch1.957730WSep 6 · 06:35K. Zapala2.251610281A. Duch1.54141211113WSep 5 · 23:35K. Guzy2.061176101A. Duch1.6341111123WSep 5 · 22:05A. Duch1.581111113M. Szymanski2.147880
B. Bartosz10
LSep 10 · 15:30P. Odelski1.5211115113B. Bartosz2.27811161LSep 10 · 14:00K. Guzy1.511113115113B. Bartosz2.2991531172LAug 20 · 22:00K. Zapala—1113113B. Bartosz—61190LAug 20 · 20:30K. Zapala1.451111113B. Bartosz2.438780WAug 20 · 19:30B. Gola1.404330B. Bartosz2.601111113WAug 20 · 18:00D. Bucko1.47116581B. Bartosz2.3991111113WAug 20 · 15:30P. Kos1.68911671B. Bartosz1.9811511113LAug 20 · 14:00K. Kowalewski1.371113113B. Bartosz2.7041140WJun 27 · 13:35D. Kovtanyuk—4460B. Bartosz—1111113LJun 27 · 13:05B. Bartosz—5820D. Kovtanyuk—1111113
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