TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13115889
Played Sep 11Finished
Piotr Odelski
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811911711––––
Krzysztof Zapala
Away
2.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:18 and never touched — 64.3% is still 64.3%
Graded at full timePiotr Odelski to win
64.3%
64.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
811911711––––
H2H Piotr Odelski 1–0 Krzysztof Zapala Krzysztof Zapala has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:18What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Odelski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Odelski 1594 vs Zapala 1451
Odelski
Wrong
both rated, 143 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Odelski 20% vs Zapala 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Odelski 60% vs Zapala 10%
Odelski
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Odelski -1 · Zapala -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Odelski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zapala form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOdelski 1.50 / Zapala 2.40
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Odelski)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13115889
Odelski1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite75% won 24 of 32
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Zapala2.40
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 84 of 210
Down 0–1, comes back23% 24 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeOdelski1wins
AwayZapala0wins
Odelski leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricOdelskiZapalaO − ZBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.022.0+11.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOdelskiZapalaBasisWin rate · lifetime41 / 66 vs 320 / 71262.1%44.9%41 / 66 vs 320 / 712Avg sets wonper match2.41.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.838.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OdelskiOdelski 1.50/Zapala 2.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.3%
Odelski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zapala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 10 · 16:00P. Odelski—1111113K. Zapala—8860
P. Odelski10
LSep 11 · 14:30P. Odelski2.10119881A. Duch1.6091111113WSep 10 · 22:10A. Duch1.57681111142P. Odelski2.30111167163LSep 10 · 21:00P. Odelski1.82118711112D. Bucko1.88411119133LSep 10 · 19:00A. Duch1.8011911113P. Odelski1.86311661LSep 10 · 17:00K. Guzy1.761141112113P. Odelski1.90711131092WSep 10 · 16:00K. Zapala2.608860P. Odelski1.411111113WSep 10 · 15:30P. Odelski1.5211115113B. Bartosz2.27811161WSep 7 · 22:30P. Odelski1.511111113W. Arkadiusz2.406950WSep 7 · 20:30P. Odelski1.5511911113W. Arkadiusz2.30911591WSep 7 · 18:30K. Patryk1.82411561P. Odelski1.8811611113
K. Zapala10
LSep 11 · 16:00K. Zapala2.40138781M. Szymanski1.50111111113WSep 10 · 21:40B. Bartosz2.401123101142K. Zapala1.51825129113LSep 10 · 20:30K. Zapala1.87511812112B. Bartosz1.831191110133LSep 10 · 18:30K. Guzy1.361110915123K. Zapala2.809121113102LSep 10 · 17:30K. Zapala2.1091511882D. Bucko1.601113511113LSep 10 · 16:30A. Duch1.39711116153K. Zapala2.65118511132LSep 10 · 16:00K. Zapala2.608860P. Odelski1.411111113LSep 6 · 13:55K. Zapala—11860M. Szymanski—1311113LSep 6 · 12:05K. Kowalewski1.3391313113K. Zapala2.8511111191LSep 6 · 11:05K. Zapala2.60781291K. Guzy1.44111110113
Upcoming Matches
P. Odelski
Nothing scheduled
K. Zapala
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