TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13110780
Played Sep 10Finished
Adam Duch
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
113911116116––
Piotr Odelski
Away
1.86
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Odelski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
68 points played in total.
Set by set
113911116116––
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:46What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Duch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Duch 1655 vs Odelski 1615
Duch
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Duch 80% vs Odelski 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Duch 80% vs Odelski 90%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Duch +2 · Odelski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Duch) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Odelski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDuch 1.80 / Odelski 1.86
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Duch)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13110780
Duch1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 117 of 189
Up 2–0, closes it94% 65 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it78% 84 of 108
Odelski1.86
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog52% won 14 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back35% 6 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back22% 2 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricDuchOdelskiBasisWin rate · lifetime449 / 755 vs 40 / 6259.5%64.5%449 / 755 vs 40 / 62Avg sets wonper match2.22.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.840.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
DuchDuch 1.80/Odelski 1.86
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Duch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Duch won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Duch10
WSep 10 · 18:00A. Duch1.311111113B. Bartosz3.005980WSep 10 · 16:30A. Duch1.39711116153K. Zapala2.65118511132LSep 10 · 14:30A. Duch1.61127111172D. Bucko2.201011813113WSep 6 · 14:45A. Duch2.0051111123P. Kos1.741168101WSep 6 · 13:05K. Guzy1.9813811562A. Duch1.751111711113WSep 6 · 11:35A. Duch1.541111106113M. Szymanski2.2248121172WSep 6 · 09:35P. Kos2.506990A. Duch1.471111113LSep 6 · 07:05K. Kowalewski1.741111113A. Duch1.957730WSep 6 · 06:35K. Zapala2.251610281A. Duch1.54141211113WSep 5 · 23:35K. Guzy2.061176101A. Duch1.6341111123
P. Odelski10
LSep 10 · 17:00K. Guzy1.761141112113P. Odelski1.90711131092WSep 10 · 16:00K. Zapala2.608860P. Odelski1.411111113WSep 10 · 15:30P. Odelski1.5211115113B. Bartosz2.27811161WSep 7 · 22:30P. Odelski1.511111113W. Arkadiusz2.406950WSep 7 · 20:30P. Odelski1.5511911113W. Arkadiusz2.30911591WSep 7 · 18:30K. Patryk1.82411561P. Odelski1.8811611113WSep 7 · 17:30P. Odelski1.6011911113K. Kos2.11711881WSep 7 · 16:30W. Dariusz5.7549111162P. Odelski1.12111165113WSep 7 · 16:00P. Odelski1.7311711113L. Buklat1.92911831WSep 2 · 22:40P. Odelski1.591111113W. Arkadiusz2.138890
Upcoming Matches
A. Duch
Nothing scheduled
P. Odelski
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