TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13111658
Played Sep 10Finished
Adam Duch
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6118111161171416
Piotr Odelski
Away
2.30
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:44 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeAdam Duch to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
101 points played in total.
Set by set
6118111161171416
H2H Adam Duch 1–0 Piotr Odelski Piotr Odelski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Duch beat Odelski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:44What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Duch
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Duch 1655 vs Odelski 1592
Duch
Wrong
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Duch 60% vs Odelski 40%
Duch
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Duch 70% vs Odelski 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Duch -1 · Odelski -3
Odelski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Duch) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDuch 1.57 / Odelski 2.30
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Duch)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13111658
Duch1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 117 of 189
Up 2–0, closes it94% 65 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it78% 84 of 108
Odelski2.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog52% won 14 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back35% 6 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back22% 2 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDuch1wins
AwayOdelski0wins
Duch leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricDuchOdelskiD − OBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match42.026.0+16.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDuchOdelskiBasisWin rate · lifetime450 / 757 vs 40 / 6459.5%62.5%450 / 757 vs 40 / 64Avg sets wonper match2.22.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.840.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DuchDuch 1.57/Odelski 2.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.2%
Duch · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Odelski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 10 · 19:00A. Duch—11911113P. Odelski—311661
A. Duch10
LSep 10 · 20:00K. Guzy1.8311614123A. Duch1.8691112101WSep 10 · 19:00A. Duch1.8011911113P. Odelski1.86311661WSep 10 · 18:00A. Duch1.311111113B. Bartosz3.005980WSep 10 · 16:30A. Duch1.39711116153K. Zapala2.65118511132LSep 10 · 14:30A. Duch1.61127111172D. Bucko2.201011813113WSep 6 · 14:45A. Duch2.0051111123P. Kos1.741168101WSep 6 · 13:05K. Guzy1.9813811562A. Duch1.751111711113WSep 6 · 11:35A. Duch1.541111106113M. Szymanski2.2248121172WSep 6 · 09:35P. Kos2.506990A. Duch1.471111113LSep 6 · 07:05K. Kowalewski1.741111113A. Duch1.957730
P. Odelski10
LSep 10 · 21:00P. Odelski1.82118711112D. Bucko1.88411119133LSep 10 · 19:00A. Duch1.8011911113P. Odelski1.86311661LSep 10 · 17:00K. Guzy1.761141112113P. Odelski1.90711131092WSep 10 · 16:00K. Zapala2.608860P. Odelski1.411111113WSep 10 · 15:30P. Odelski1.5211115113B. Bartosz2.27811161WSep 7 · 22:30P. Odelski1.511111113W. Arkadiusz2.406950WSep 7 · 20:30P. Odelski1.5511911113W. Arkadiusz2.30911591WSep 7 · 18:30K. Patryk1.82411561P. Odelski1.8811611113WSep 7 · 17:30P. Odelski1.6011911113K. Kos2.11711881WSep 7 · 16:30W. Dariusz5.7549111162P. Odelski1.12111165113
Upcoming Matches
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