TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13112387
Played Sep 11Finished
Krzysztof Zapala
Home
2.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1311811711811––
Mateusz Szymanski
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:23 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timeMateusz Szymanski to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
1311811711811––
H2H Krzysztof Zapala 15–19 Mateusz Szymanski Krzysztof Zapala has won 15 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:23What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Szymanski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-19 in 34
Szymanski
Correct
gap of 4 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zapala 1460 vs Szymanski 1564
Szymanski
Correct
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zapala 20% vs Szymanski 40%
Szymanski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zapala 20% vs Szymanski 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zapala +1 · Szymanski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Szymanski) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szymanski form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZapala 2.40 / Szymanski 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Szymanski)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13112387
Zapala2.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 84 of 210
Down 0–1, comes back23% 24 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 58
Szymanski1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 30 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it68% 17 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZapala6wins
AwaySzymanski4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZapala leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZapala75%3 of 4
AwaySzymanski40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zapala4Szymanski5n = 9Szymanski took 5 of 9
S2Zapala4Szymanski5n = 9Szymanski took 5 of 9
S3Zapala4Szymanski5n = 9Szymanski took 5 of 9
S4Zapala6Szymanski1n = 7Zapala took 6 of 7
S5Zapala2Szymanski1n = 3Zapala took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZapalaSzymanskiZ − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match41.940.9+1.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZapalaSzymanskiBasisWin rate · lifetime320 / 711 vs 138 / 25845%53.5%320 / 711 vs 138 / 258Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzymanskiZapala 2.40/Szymanski 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.7%
Szymanski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Szymanski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 6 · 13:55K. Zapala—11860M. Szymanski—1311113
WSep 6 · 10:05K. Zapala—141111163M. Szymanski—12138141
WSep 5 · 18:35K. Zapala—101111173M. Szymanski—1269151
LAug 29 · 22:45K. Zapala—7230M. Szymanski—1111113
WAug 29 · 18:35K. Zapala—12169113M. Szymanski—10141181
WJul 31 · 22:00K. Zapala—81111113M. Szymanski—119761
LJul 18 · 17:35K. Zapala—13491162M. Szymanski—1111116113
WJul 17 · 22:10K. Zapala—1112811113M. Szymanski—81411782
WJul 17 · 16:00K. Zapala—1211119113M. Szymanski—14301192
K. Zapala10
WSep 11 · 16:30P. Odelski1.508970K. Zapala2.401111113WSep 10 · 21:40B. Bartosz2.401123101142K. Zapala1.51825129113LSep 10 · 20:30K. Zapala1.87511812112B. Bartosz1.831191110133LSep 10 · 18:30K. Guzy1.361110915123K. Zapala2.809121113102LSep 10 · 17:30K. Zapala2.1091511882D. Bucko1.601113511113LSep 10 · 16:30A. Duch1.39711116153K. Zapala2.65118511132LSep 10 · 16:00K. Zapala2.608860P. Odelski1.411111113LSep 6 · 13:55K. Zapala—11860M. Szymanski—1311113LSep 6 · 12:05K. Kowalewski1.3391313113K. Zapala2.8511111191LSep 6 · 11:05K. Zapala2.60781291K. Guzy1.44111110113
M. Szymanski10
LSep 11 · 15:30M. Szymanski2.2011970K. Guzy1.581311113WSep 6 · 13:55K. Zapala—11860M. Szymanski—1311113WSep 6 · 12:35P. Kos1.9610101171M. Szymanski1.7012127113LSep 6 · 11:35A. Duch1.541111106113M. Szymanski2.2248121172LSep 6 · 10:05K. Zapala2.25141111163M. Szymanski1.5412138141LSep 6 · 07:35K. Guzy1.701011811113M. Szymanski2.0512911892LSep 6 · 06:05K. Kowalewski1.55812911123M. Szymanski2.211110119102WSep 5 · 22:35K. Kowalewski—13981452M. Szymanski—11111112113LSep 5 · 22:05A. Duch1.581111113M. Szymanski2.147880LSep 5 · 20:35M. Szymanski2.1010149101K. Kowalewski1.60121211123
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