TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13115446
Played Sep 11Finished
Mateusz Szymanski
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113911711––––
Karol Guzy
Away
1.58
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:33 and never touched — 61.0% is still 61.0%
Graded at full timeKarol Guzy to win
61.0%
61.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
62 points played in total.
Set by set
1113911711––––
H2H Mateusz Szymanski 19–22 Karol Guzy Mateusz Szymanski has won 19 of their 41 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:33What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.58 (58%)
Guzy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-22 in 41
Guzy
Correct
gap of 3 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szymanski 1572 vs Guzy 1735
Guzy
Correct
both rated, 162 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szymanski 40% vs Guzy 100%
Guzy
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szymanski 30% vs Guzy 90%
Guzy
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szymanski +2 · Guzy +5
Guzy
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Guzy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Guzy form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymanski 2.20 / Guzy 1.58
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Guzy)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13115446
Szymanski2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 27 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back29% 12 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 22
Guzy1.58
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 170 of 276
Up 2–0, closes it92% 79 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it82% 134 of 163
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzymanski3wins
AwayGuzy7wins
7 of 10 to a deciderGuzy leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzymanski50%2 of 4
AwayGuzy83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szymanski4Guzy6n = 10Guzy took 6 of 10
S2Szymanski3Guzy7n = 10Guzy took 7 of 10
S3Szymanski7Guzy3n = 10Szymanski took 7 of 10
S4Szymanski7Guzy3n = 10Szymanski took 7 of 10
S5Szymanski1Guzy6n = 7Guzy took 6 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away660%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzymanskiGuzyS − GBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match45.444.4+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymanskiGuzyBasisWin rate · lifetime138 / 257 vs 644 / 107153.7%60.1%138 / 257 vs 644 / 1071Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.040.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuzySzymanski 2.20/Guzy 1.58
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.4%
Guzy · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Guzy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 07:35M. Szymanski—12911892K. Guzy—1011811113
LSep 5 · 15:35M. Szymanski—1111121152K. Guzy—713144113
WSep 4 · 22:40M. Szymanski—81111113K. Guzy—119911
LSep 4 · 15:30M. Szymanski—9111171K. Guzy—11138113
LAug 29 · 20:35M. Szymanski—812111162K. Guzy—1110137113
WAug 28 · 21:00M. Szymanski—127116113K. Guzy—101181152
LAug 1 · 11:05M. Szymanski—751111102K. Guzy—111173123
WJul 31 · 14:30M. Szymanski—11611113K. Guzy—511761
LJul 18 · 21:05M. Szymanski—51381192K. Guzy—1111114113
LJul 17 · 15:30M. Szymanski—1091111112K. Guzy—121198133
M. Szymanski10
WSep 6 · 13:55K. Zapala—11860M. Szymanski—1311113WSep 6 · 12:35P. Kos1.9610101171M. Szymanski1.7012127113LSep 6 · 11:35A. Duch1.541111106113M. Szymanski2.2248121172LSep 6 · 10:05K. Zapala2.25141111163M. Szymanski1.5412138141LSep 6 · 07:35K. Guzy1.701011811113M. Szymanski2.0512911892LSep 6 · 06:05K. Kowalewski1.55812911123M. Szymanski2.211110119102WSep 5 · 22:35K. Kowalewski—13981452M. Szymanski—11111112113LSep 5 · 22:05A. Duch1.581111113M. Szymanski2.147880LSep 5 · 20:35M. Szymanski2.1010149101K. Kowalewski1.60121211123LSep 5 · 18:35K. Zapala2.50101111173M. Szymanski1.461269151
K. Guzy10
WSep 11 · 14:00T. Stachera2.951461471K. Guzy1.31121116113WSep 10 · 22:40K. Guzy1.871111138113D. Bucko1.8344151172WSep 10 · 20:00K. Guzy1.8311614123A. Duch1.8691112101WSep 10 · 18:30K. Guzy1.361110915123K. Zapala2.809121113102WSep 10 · 17:00K. Guzy1.761141112113P. Odelski1.90711131092WSep 10 · 15:00K. Guzy1.87411711113D. Bucko1.8311711692WSep 10 · 14:00K. Guzy1.511113115113B. Bartosz2.2991531172WSep 6 · 14:15K. Guzy1.8891111113K. Kowalewski1.82118691LSep 6 · 13:05K. Guzy1.9813811562A. Duch1.751111711113WSep 6 · 07:35K. Guzy1.701011811113M. Szymanski2.0512911892
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