TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13111554
Played Sep 11Finished
Tomasz Stachera
Home
2.95
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
14126111416711––
Karol Guzy
Away
1.31
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:13 and never touched — 65.5% is still 65.5%
Graded at full timeKarol Guzy to win
65.5%
65.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
14126111416711––
H2H Tomasz Stachera 8–10 Karol Guzy Tomasz Stachera has won 8 of their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:13What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.31 (69%)
Guzy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-10 in 18
Guzy
Correct
gap of 2 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stachera 1490 vs Guzy 1730
Guzy
Correct
both rated, 239 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stachera 20% vs Guzy 100%
Guzy
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stachera 20% vs Guzy 90%
Guzy
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stachera +1 · Guzy +5
Guzy
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Guzy) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Guzy form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (76%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStachera 2.95 / Guzy 1.31
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Guzy)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13111554
Stachera2.95
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog43% won 28 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back19% 6 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Guzy1.31
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 170 of 276
Up 2–0, closes it92% 79 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it82% 134 of 163
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStachera5wins
AwayGuzy5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStachera66.7%4 of 6
AwayGuzy75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stachera6Guzy4n = 10Stachera took 6 of 10
S2Stachera9Guzy1n = 10Stachera took 9 of 10
S3Stachera1Guzy9n = 10Guzy took 9 of 10
S4Stachera6Guzy2n = 8Stachera took 6 of 8
S5Stachera1Guzy4n = 5Guzy took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStacheraGuzyS − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.041.2+1.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStacheraGuzyBasisWin rate · lifetime119 / 260 vs 643 / 107045.8%60.1%119 / 260 vs 643 / 1070Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.540.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuzyStachera 2.95/Guzy 1.31
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.4%
Guzy · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Guzy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 21:40T. Stachera—7111311153K. Guzy—117157132
LAug 28 · 19:30T. Stachera—611913102K. Guzy—1191111123
WJul 24 · 21:00T. Stachera—1111113K. Guzy—9650
LJul 8 · 19:30T. Stachera—91181162K. Guzy—119118113
WJul 2 · 22:30T. Stachera—111210113K. Guzy—6101291
LJul 2 · 18:00T. Stachera—111193102K. Guzy—991111123
LJun 25 · 15:00T. Stachera—11119992K. Guzy—971111113
WMay 27 · 14:00T. Stachera—11118113K. Guzy—671131
LMay 21 · 15:00T. Stachera—11960K. Guzy—1311113
WMay 5 · 14:00T. Stachera—11119113K. Guzy—891171
T. Stachera10
WAug 28 · 21:40K. Guzy1.44117157132T. Stachera2.607111311153LAug 28 · 20:30P. Kos1.6611811113T. Stachera2.05811511LAug 28 · 19:30K. Guzy1.411191111123T. Stachera2.60611913102LAug 28 · 18:00D. Bucko1.461112133T. Stachera2.50710110LAug 28 · 15:30M. Szymanski1.505121115113T. Stachera2.40111081722LAug 28 · 14:00K. Kowalewski1.361111113T. Stachera2.956960LAug 21 · 22:10P. Kos3.40119811113T. Stachera1.2721111262LAug 21 · 20:30K. Zapala1.86115117113T. Stachera1.8391121192WAug 21 · 19:30D. Bucko1.62118111172T. Stachera2.06911913113LAug 21 · 18:00P. Kos2.2011117113T. Stachera1.57481181
K. Guzy10
WSep 10 · 22:40K. Guzy1.871111138113D. Bucko1.8344151172WSep 10 · 20:00K. Guzy1.8311614123A. Duch1.8691112101WSep 10 · 18:30K. Guzy1.361110915123K. Zapala2.809121113102WSep 10 · 17:00K. Guzy1.761141112113P. Odelski1.90711131092WSep 10 · 15:00K. Guzy1.87411711113D. Bucko1.8311711692WSep 10 · 14:00K. Guzy1.511113115113B. Bartosz2.2991531172WSep 6 · 14:15K. Guzy1.8891111113K. Kowalewski1.82118691LSep 6 · 13:05K. Guzy1.9813811562A. Duch1.751111711113LAug 28 · 21:40K. Guzy1.44117157132T. Stachera2.607111311153WAug 28 · 19:30K. Guzy1.411191111123T. Stachera2.60611913102
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