TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13111553
Played Sep 11Finished
Piotr Odelski
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119911811811––
Adam Duch
Away
1.60
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Duch to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
119911811811––
H2H Piotr Odelski 1–1 Adam Duch Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:13What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Duch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Odelski 1605 vs Duch 1642
Duch
Correct
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Odelski 40% vs Duch 60%
Duch
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Odelski 70% vs Duch 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Odelski +1 · Duch -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Duch) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOdelski 2.10 / Duch 1.60
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Duch)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13111553
Odelski2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog50% won 15 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back32% 6 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back22% 2 of 9
Duch1.60
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 120 of 194
Up 2–0, closes it94% 66 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it78% 86 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeOdelski1wins
AwayDuch1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricOdelskiDuchO − DBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match38.546.0−7.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOdelskiDuchBasisWin rate · lifetime41 / 65 vs 450 / 75863.1%59.4%41 / 65 vs 450 / 758Avg sets wonper match2.42.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.938.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DuchOdelski 2.10/Duch 1.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.6%
Duch · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Duch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 10 · 22:10P. Odelski—111167163A. Duch—681111142
LSep 10 · 19:00P. Odelski—311661A. Duch—11911113
P. Odelski10
WSep 10 · 22:10A. Duch1.57681111142P. Odelski2.30111167163LSep 10 · 21:00P. Odelski1.82118711112D. Bucko1.88411119133LSep 10 · 19:00A. Duch1.8011911113P. Odelski1.86311661LSep 10 · 17:00K. Guzy1.761141112113P. Odelski1.90711131092WSep 10 · 16:00K. Zapala2.608860P. Odelski1.411111113WSep 10 · 15:30P. Odelski1.5211115113B. Bartosz2.27811161WSep 7 · 22:30P. Odelski1.511111113W. Arkadiusz2.406950WSep 7 · 20:30P. Odelski1.5511911113W. Arkadiusz2.30911591WSep 7 · 18:30K. Patryk1.82411561P. Odelski1.8811611113WSep 7 · 17:30P. Odelski1.6011911113K. Kos2.11711881
A. Duch10
LSep 10 · 22:10A. Duch1.57681111142P. Odelski2.30111167163LSep 10 · 20:00K. Guzy1.8311614123A. Duch1.8691112101WSep 10 · 19:00A. Duch1.8011911113P. Odelski1.86311661WSep 10 · 18:00A. Duch1.311111113B. Bartosz3.005980WSep 10 · 16:30A. Duch1.39711116153K. Zapala2.65118511132LSep 10 · 14:30A. Duch1.61127111172D. Bucko2.201011813113WSep 6 · 14:45A. Duch2.0051111123P. Kos1.741168101WSep 6 · 13:05K. Guzy1.9813811562A. Duch1.751111711113WSep 6 · 11:35A. Duch1.541111106113M. Szymanski2.2248121172WSep 6 · 09:35P. Kos2.506990A. Duch1.471111113
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