TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13116221
Played Sep 11Finished
Tomasz Stachera
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611118911711––
Krzysztof Zapala
Away
1.71
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:53 and never touched — 55.1% is still 55.1%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Zapala to win
55.1%
55.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
611118911711––
H2H Tomasz Stachera 8–10 Krzysztof Zapala Tomasz Stachera has won 8 of their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:53What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Zapala
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-10 in 18
Zapala
Correct
gap of 2 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stachera 1470 vs Zapala 1489
Zapala
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stachera 20% vs Zapala 60%
Zapala
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stachera 10% vs Zapala 30%
Zapala
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stachera -3 · Zapala +2
Stachera
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Zapala)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stachera form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStachera 2.00 / Zapala 1.71
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Zapala)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13116221
Stachera2.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 28 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back19% 6 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Zapala1.71
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 64 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it86% 36 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it77% 51 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStachera5wins
AwayZapala5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStachera80%4 of 5
AwayZapala80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stachera5Zapala5n = 10split evenly
S2Stachera1Zapala9n = 10Zapala took 9 of 10
S3Stachera6Zapala4n = 10Stachera took 6 of 10
S4Stachera4Zapala5n = 9Zapala took 5 of 9
S5Stachera4Zapala1n = 5Stachera took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStacheraZapalaS − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.642.3+0.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStacheraZapalaBasisWin rate · lifetime112 / 255 vs 322 / 71443.9%45.1%112 / 255 vs 322 / 714Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZapalaStachera 2.00/Zapala 1.71
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.1%
Zapala · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zapala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 21 · 20:30T. Stachera—91121192K. Zapala—115117113
WAug 19 · 18:30T. Stachera—1111119113K. Zapala—91391192
LJul 8 · 21:30T. Stachera—3101191K. Zapala—11129113
LJul 8 · 17:30T. Stachera—7101191K. Zapala—11129113
WJul 2 · 14:30T. Stachera—591111113K. Zapala—11115382
WJun 25 · 18:30T. Stachera—1191111113K. Zapala—91191392
LMay 27 · 22:40T. Stachera—1212891K. Zapala—101411113
WMay 27 · 20:30T. Stachera—1181011113K. Zapala—61112552
LMay 21 · 18:30T. Stachera—8880K. Zapala—1111113
WApr 20 · 21:30T. Stachera—11911143K. Zapala—9112121
T. Stachera10
LSep 11 · 17:00T. Stachera2.33119551M. Szymanski1.4981111113LSep 11 · 15:00T. Stachera2.951199101A. Duch1.3691111123LSep 11 · 14:00T. Stachera2.951461471K. Guzy1.31121116113WAug 28 · 21:40K. Guzy1.44117157132T. Stachera2.607111311153LAug 28 · 20:30P. Kos1.6611811113T. Stachera2.05811511LAug 28 · 19:30K. Guzy1.411191111123T. Stachera2.60611913102LAug 28 · 18:00D. Bucko1.461112133T. Stachera2.50710110LAug 28 · 15:30M. Szymanski1.505121115113T. Stachera2.40111081722LAug 28 · 14:00K. Kowalewski1.361111113T. Stachera2.956960LAug 21 · 22:10P. Kos3.40119811113T. Stachera1.2721111262
K. Zapala10
WSep 11 · 17:30K. Zapala2.3911115143A. Duch1.476811121WSep 11 · 16:30P. Odelski1.508970K. Zapala2.401111113LSep 11 · 16:00K. Zapala2.40138781M. Szymanski1.50111111113WSep 10 · 21:40B. Bartosz2.401123101142K. Zapala1.51825129113LSep 10 · 20:30K. Zapala1.87511812112B. Bartosz1.831191110133LSep 10 · 18:30K. Guzy1.361110915123K. Zapala2.809121113102LSep 10 · 17:30K. Zapala2.1091511882D. Bucko1.601113511113LSep 10 · 16:30A. Duch1.39711116153K. Zapala2.65118511132LSep 10 · 16:00K. Zapala2.608860P. Odelski1.411111113LSep 6 · 13:55K. Zapala—11860M. Szymanski—1311113
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