TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13115861
Played Sep 11Finished
Tomasz Stachera
Home
2.33
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118911511511––
Mateusz Szymanski
Away
1.49
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:26 and never touched — 63.8% is still 63.8%
Graded at full timeMateusz Szymanski to win
63.8%
63.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
118911511511––
H2H Tomasz Stachera 0–2 Mateusz Szymanski Tomasz Stachera has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:26What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.49 (61%)
Szymanski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Stachera 1479 vs Szymanski 1573
Szymanski
Correct
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stachera 20% vs Szymanski 60%
Szymanski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stachera 10% vs Szymanski 40%
Szymanski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stachera -2 · Szymanski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Szymanski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stachera form (20%) is below what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStachera 2.33 / Szymanski 1.49
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Szymanski)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13115861
Stachera2.33
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 28 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back19% 6 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Szymanski1.49
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 30 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it68% 17 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeStachera0wins
AwaySzymanski2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderSzymanski leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricStacheraSzymanskiStachera − SzymanskiBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match40.048.5−8.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStacheraSzymanskiBasisWin rate · lifetime112 / 254 vs 139 / 25944.1%53.7%112 / 254 vs 139 / 259Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.539.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzymanskiStachera 2.33/Szymanski 1.49
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.8%
Szymanski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Szymanski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 28 · 15:30T. Stachera—111081722M. Szymanski—5121115113
LMar 13 · 22:00T. Stachera—1031181M. Szymanski—12119113
T. Stachera10
LSep 11 · 15:00T. Stachera2.951199101A. Duch1.3691111123LSep 11 · 14:00T. Stachera2.951461471K. Guzy1.31121116113WAug 28 · 21:40K. Guzy1.44117157132T. Stachera2.607111311153LAug 28 · 20:30P. Kos1.6611811113T. Stachera2.05811511LAug 28 · 19:30K. Guzy1.411191111123T. Stachera2.60611913102LAug 28 · 18:00D. Bucko1.461112133T. Stachera2.50710110LAug 28 · 15:30M. Szymanski1.505121115113T. Stachera2.40111081722LAug 28 · 14:00K. Kowalewski1.361111113T. Stachera2.956960LAug 21 · 22:10P. Kos3.40119811113T. Stachera1.2721111262LAug 21 · 20:30K. Zapala1.86115117113T. Stachera1.8391121192
M. Szymanski10
WSep 11 · 16:00K. Zapala2.40138781M. Szymanski1.50111111113LSep 11 · 15:30M. Szymanski2.2011970K. Guzy1.581311113WSep 6 · 13:55K. Zapala—11860M. Szymanski—1311113WSep 6 · 12:35P. Kos1.9610101171M. Szymanski1.7012127113LSep 6 · 11:35A. Duch1.541111106113M. Szymanski2.2248121172LSep 6 · 10:05K. Zapala2.25141111163M. Szymanski1.5412138141LSep 6 · 07:35K. Guzy1.701011811113M. Szymanski2.0512911892LSep 6 · 06:05K. Kowalewski1.55812911123M. Szymanski2.211110119102WSep 5 · 22:35K. Kowalewski—13981452M. Szymanski—11111112113WAug 28 · 15:30M. Szymanski1.505121115113T. Stachera2.40111081722
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