TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13115295
Played Sep 12Finished
Frantisek Briza
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811911––––
Marek Placek
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Placek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Briza above · Marek Placek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 58 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Marek Placek at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Briza 15–21 Marek Placek Frantisek Briza has won 15 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:53What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Placek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-21 in 36
Placek
Correct
gap of 6 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Briza 1446 vs Placek 1381
Briza
Wrong
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Briza 20% vs Placek 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Briza 60% vs Placek 20%
Briza
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Briza -3 · Placek -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Placek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Placek form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBriza 2.10 / Placek 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Briza)+1.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13115295
Briza2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 81 of 232
Down 0–1, comes back24% 32 of 134
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 70
Placek1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 46 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it89% 24 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it76% 38 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBriza2wins
AwayPlacek8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPlacek leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBriza66.7%2 of 3
AwayPlacek100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Briza3Placek7n = 10Placek took 7 of 10
S2Briza4Placek6n = 10Placek took 6 of 10
S3Briza7Placek3n = 10Briza took 7 of 10
S4Briza2Placek6n = 8Placek took 6 of 8
S5Briza0Placek3n = 3Placek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrizaPlacekB − PBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.241.7−3.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrizaPlacekBasisWin rate · lifetime378 / 824 vs 204 / 39745.9%51.4%378 / 824 vs 204 / 397Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlacekBriza 2.10/Placek 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Placek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Placek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 19:30F. Briza4049131132M. Placek511111117113
LAug 28 · 14:30F. Briza3810101171M. Placek4212127113
WJun 16 · 03:30F. Briza4211911113M. Placek29711561
LJun 15 · 22:30F. Briza216960M. Placek331111113
LJun 14 · 10:30F. Briza45611111162M. Placek52119813113
LJun 12 · 16:30F. Briza581015114182M. Placek631213711203
LMay 23 · 19:00F. Briza327111041M. Placek4311912113
WMay 9 · 19:30F. Briza331111113M. Placek269980
LApr 22 · 17:06F. Briza34116891M. Placek3851111113
LApr 22 · 14:30F. Briza398111191M. Placek4011135113
F. Briza10
LSep 12 · 19:00F. Briza2.63511461F. Jungman1.4411611113LSep 12 · 18:00P. Fojt1.5351111113F. Briza2.38119761LSep 11 · 03:30K. Darin2.20131011113F. Briza1.601112941WSep 11 · 02:00F. Briza1.73111114123T. Regner2.007516101LSep 11 · 01:00F. Briza1.91841171K. Darin1.8011119113WSep 11 · 24:00R. Bartunek4.003780F. Briza1.221111113WSep 10 · 22:30O. Vitrovyj1.911120F. Briza1.801111113WSep 6 · 17:30F. Briza1.8012711113J. Novotny1.911011651WSep 6 · 16:00A. Svoboda2.38111112392F. Briza1.53661411113WSep 6 · 15:00J. Novotny2.00411691F. Briza1.7311211113
M. Placek10
LSep 12 · 19:30M. Placek3.40691191P. Fojt1.3011117113LSep 12 · 18:30F. Jungman1.6771111113M. Placek2.10117991LSep 8 · 02:58M. Placek1.4411811111O. Vitrovyj2.6341113133WSep 8 · 02:30M. Placek1.801111133O. Vitrovyj1.9179110LSep 8 · 01:30K. Darin1.671111123M. Placek2.1064100LSep 8 · 24:00M. Placek1.40811371J. Steffan2.7511411113WSep 7 · 23:00P. Picek2.63711291M. Placek1.4411911113LSep 4 · 21:07M. Placek2.70711561J. Dedek1.4011611113LSep 4 · 20:30M. Kolar2.00911611123M. Placek1.73116119102LSep 4 · 19:30M. Placek2.506360J. Dedek1.501111113
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