TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111469
Played Sep 11Finished
Oleg Gavryshko
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611711411––––
Artem Chepurnyi
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleg Gavryshko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleg Gavryshko above · Artem Chepurnyi below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 50 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Oleg Gavryshko at 54.0%
50 points played in total.
H2H Oleg Gavryshko 47–53 Artem Chepurnyi Oleg Gavryshko has won 47 of their 100 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:43What took a side0 for · 6 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Chepurnyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
47-53 in 100
Chepurnyi
Correct
gap of 6 in 100, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gavryshko 1752 vs Chepurnyi 1782
Chepurnyi
Correct
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gavryshko 20% vs Chepurnyi 80%
Chepurnyi
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gavryshko 40% vs Chepurnyi 60%
Chepurnyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gavryshko -1 · Chepurnyi +3
Chepurnyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gavryshko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chepurnyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGavryshko 1.83 / Chepurnyi 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Gavryshko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13111469
Gavryshko1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Chepurnyi1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGavryshko8wins
AwayChepurnyi2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderGavryshko leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGavryshko85.7%6 of 7
AwayChepurnyi33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gavryshko7Chepurnyi3n = 10Gavryshko took 7 of 10
S2Gavryshko5Chepurnyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Gavryshko8Chepurnyi2n = 10Gavryshko took 8 of 10
S4Gavryshko5Chepurnyi4n = 9Gavryshko took 5 of 9
S5Gavryshko3Chepurnyi2n = 5Gavryshko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGavryshkoChepurnyiG − CBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match44.340.5+3.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGavryshkoChepurnyiBasisWin rate · lifetime329 / 623 vs 564 / 94952.8%59.4%329 / 623 vs 564 / 949Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GavryshkoGavryshko 1.83/Chepurnyi 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Gavryshko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Chepurnyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 24:25O. Gavryshko—147111292A. Chepurnyi—1211814113
WSep 5 · 22:25O. Gavryshko—1113113A. Chepurnyi—91170
LSep 4 · 16:55O. Gavryshko—911118102A. Chepurnyi—119711123
WAug 29 · 22:55O. Gavryshko—111110113A. Chepurnyi—981291
WAug 28 · 15:55O. Gavryshko—128119113A. Chepurnyi—101181192
WAug 16 · 21:25O. Gavryshko—11911113A. Chepurnyi—811381
WAug 15 · 23:25O. Gavryshko—11311113A. Chepurnyi—911791
WAug 14 · 19:55O. Gavryshko—1171112113A. Chepurnyi—131181082
WAug 9 · 21:55O. Gavryshko—411115113A. Chepurnyi—11541182
WAug 8 · 21:55O. Gavryshko—11117113A. Chepurnyi—551191
O. Gavryshko10
LSep 7 · 03:25O. Gavryshko1.404125101O. Mishchenko2.75111011123WSep 7 · 01:55O. Gavryshko1.3661111123I. Demchenko3.001198101LSep 7 · 24:25O. Gavryshko1.83147111292A. Chepurnyi1.831211814113LSep 6 · 22:55O. Gavryshko1.7325670M. Makienko2.002711113LSep 6 · 21:25O. Gavryshko2.50981191O. Dukhovenko1.5011118113LSep 6 · 04:25O. Gavryshko1.30127110I. Demchenko3.401411133LSep 6 · 02:25O. Dukhovenko1.50111169113O. Gavryshko2.5059111182WSep 6 · 24:25Y. Kryvorotko1.6111561272O. Gavryshko2.205111110113WSep 5 · 23:25O. Gavryshko1.831211113M. Makienko1.8310870WSep 5 · 22:25A. Chepurnyi1.8391170O. Gavryshko1.831113113
A. Chepurnyi10
WSep 7 · 04:25A. Chepurnyi2.2051111113M. Makienko1.61117661WSep 7 · 02:25O. Mishchenko2.20111060A. Chepurnyi1.611312113WSep 7 · 24:25O. Gavryshko1.83147111292A. Chepurnyi1.831211814113LSep 6 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi2.50811851O. Dukhovenko1.5011811113WSep 6 · 22:25I. Demchenko2.501113751A. Chepurnyi1.5071511113WSep 6 · 03:55A. Chepurnyi2.00813117113M. Makienko1.73111181172LSep 6 · 01:55Y. Kryvorotko1.611311113A. Chepurnyi2.2011820WSep 6 · 24:55A. Chepurnyi1.441051114123I. Demchenko2.631211912102LSep 5 · 23:55O. Dukhovenko1.5011511113A. Chepurnyi2.50511621LSep 5 · 22:25A. Chepurnyi1.8391170O. Gavryshko1.831113113
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