TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111371
Played Sep 11Finished
Artem Chepurnyi
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811114113119––
Oleksandr Mishchenko
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:04 and never touched — 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeArtem Chepurnyi to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtem Chepurnyi above · Oleksandr Mishchenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 68 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Artem Chepurnyi at 61.3%
68 points played in total.
H2H Artem Chepurnyi 112–87 Oleksandr Mishchenko Oleksandr Mishchenko has won 87 of their 199 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:04What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Chepurnyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
112-87 in 199
Chepurnyi
Correct
gap of 25 in 199, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chepurnyi 1796 vs Mishchenko 1587
Chepurnyi
Correct
both rated, 209 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chepurnyi 80% vs Mishchenko 60%
Chepurnyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chepurnyi 70% vs Mishchenko 50%
Chepurnyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chepurnyi +4 · Mishchenko +1
Chepurnyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Chepurnyi) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mishchenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChepurnyi 1.53 / Mishchenko 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Chepurnyi)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13111371
Chepurnyi1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite66% won 164 of 250
Up 2–0, closes it93% 81 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it82% 127 of 155
Mishchenko2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 94 of 246
Down 0–1, comes back13% 17 of 135
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChepurnyi6wins
AwayMishchenko4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderChepurnyi leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChepurnyi100%5 of 5
AwayMishchenko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chepurnyi5Mishchenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Chepurnyi5Mishchenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Chepurnyi6Mishchenko4n = 10Chepurnyi took 6 of 10
S4Chepurnyi4Mishchenko2n = 6Chepurnyi took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricChepurnyiMishchenkoC − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.534.8+1.7per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChepurnyiMishchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime556 / 935 vs 497 / 105859.5%47%556 / 935 vs 497 / 1058Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChepurnyiChepurnyi 1.53/Mishchenko 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.4%
Chepurnyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chepurnyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 21:55A. Chepurnyi—810111162O. Mishchenko—111294113
WAug 28 · 17:25A. Chepurnyi—1112113O. Mishchenko—51060
WAug 23 · 21:25A. Chepurnyi—11913113O. Mishchenko—5111171
LAug 23 · 01:25A. Chepurnyi—7750O. Mishchenko—1111113
WAug 17 · 01:25A. Chepurnyi—61111113O. Mishchenko—119591
LAug 9 · 22:55A. Chepurnyi—1011991O. Mishchenko—12811113
LAug 9 · 01:25A. Chepurnyi—4990O. Mishchenko—1111113
WAug 2 · 23:55A. Chepurnyi—1311113O. Mishchenko—11870
WJul 22 · 22:55A. Chepurnyi—112119113O. Mishchenko—91161142
WJul 22 · 24:55A. Chepurnyi—12119113O. Mishchenko—1071191
A. Chepurnyi10
WSep 11 · 14:25O. Gavryshko1.836740A. Chepurnyi1.831111113WSep 7 · 04:25A. Chepurnyi2.2051111113M. Makienko1.61117661WSep 7 · 02:25O. Mishchenko2.20111060A. Chepurnyi1.611312113WSep 7 · 24:25O. Gavryshko1.83147111292A. Chepurnyi1.831211814113LSep 6 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi2.50811851O. Dukhovenko1.5011811113WSep 6 · 22:25I. Demchenko2.501113751A. Chepurnyi1.5071511113WSep 6 · 03:55A. Chepurnyi2.00813117113M. Makienko1.73111181172LSep 6 · 01:55Y. Kryvorotko1.611311113A. Chepurnyi2.2011820WSep 6 · 24:55A. Chepurnyi1.441051114123I. Demchenko2.631211912102LSep 5 · 23:55O. Dukhovenko1.5011511113A. Chepurnyi2.50511621
O. Mishchenko10
WSep 11 · 13:25O. Dukhovenko1.50139781O. Mishchenko2.50111111113LSep 10 · 04:25E. Rubtsov3.40111011123O. Mishchenko1.309128101WSep 10 · 02:55O. Mishchenko2.10117115113P. Plakushchyi1.6761141172LSep 10 · 24:55O. Kovalchuk2.2011911113O. Mishchenko1.61511531WSep 9 · 22:55V. Panasenko1.737127121O. Mishchenko2.00111011143LSep 9 · 21:55V. Kovalenko1.9111611113O. Mishchenko1.80311761WSep 9 · 04:25O. Mishchenko1.5061O. Kovalchuk2.5030LSep 9 · 02:25V. Panasenko1.8311911113O. Mishchenko1.83711961WSep 9 · 24:25O. Dukhovenko1.57111110111O. Mishchenko2.2513912133LSep 7 · 02:25O. Mishchenko2.20111060A. Chepurnyi1.611312113
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