TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13101220
Played Sep 10Finished
Eduard Rubtsov
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11910121181210––
Oleksandr Mishchenko
Away
1.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:44 and never touched — 76.7% is still 76.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Mishchenko to win
76.7%
76.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingEduard Rubtsov above · Oleksandr Mishchenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 83 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Oleksandr Mishchenko at 76.7%
83 points played in total.
H2H Eduard Rubtsov 45–103 Oleksandr Mishchenko Eduard Rubtsov has won 45 of their 148 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:44What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Mishchenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
45-103 in 148
Mishchenko
Wrong
gap of 58 in 148, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rubtsov 1424 vs Mishchenko 1583
Mishchenko
Wrong
both rated, 159 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rubtsov 20% vs Mishchenko 60%
Mishchenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rubtsov 20% vs Mishchenko 60%
Mishchenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rubtsov -1 · Mishchenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Mishchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mishchenko form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRubtsov 3.40 / Mishchenko 1.30
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Mishchenko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13101220
Rubtsov3.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 98 of 286
Down 0–1, comes back14% 23 of 162
Down 0–2, comes back9% 11 of 119
Mishchenko1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 120 of 207
Up 2–0, closes it89% 81 of 91
Up 1–0, closes it82% 103 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRubtsov2wins
AwayMishchenko8wins
6 of 10 to a deciderMishchenko leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRubtsov33.3%1 of 3
AwayMishchenko85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rubtsov3Mishchenko7n = 10Mishchenko took 7 of 10
S2Rubtsov2Mishchenko8n = 10Mishchenko took 8 of 10
S3Rubtsov6Mishchenko4n = 10Rubtsov took 6 of 10
S4Rubtsov3Mishchenko5n = 8Mishchenko took 5 of 8
S5Rubtsov2Mishchenko4n = 6Mishchenko took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRubtsovMishchenkoR − MBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.644.2−7.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRubtsovMishchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime293 / 765 vs 496 / 105638.3%47%293 / 765 vs 496 / 1056Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.136.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MishchenkoRubtsov 3.40/Mishchenko 1.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.7%
Mishchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Rubtsov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 19 · 22:25E. Rubtsov—2740O. Mishchenko—1111113
LAug 18 · 23:55E. Rubtsov—791181O. Mishchenko—11113113
LAug 13 · 18:55E. Rubtsov—129111062O. Mishchenko—1011912113
LAug 13 · 24:25E. Rubtsov—11512462O. Mishchenko—7111011113
LAug 11 · 22:25E. Rubtsov—31111542O. Mishchenko—119711113
LAug 6 · 18:55E. Rubtsov—8780O. Mishchenko—1111113
WAug 5 · 23:55E. Rubtsov—9101114113O. Mishchenko—111241252
LAug 5 · 03:55E. Rubtsov—361151O. Mishchenko—11118113
WJul 30 · 14:25E. Rubtsov—118811143O. Mishchenko—911117122
LJul 29 · 22:55E. Rubtsov—41261292O. Mishchenko—11101110113
E. Rubtsov10
LSep 10 · 02:25V. Kovalenko1.571111123E. Rubtsov2.2593100WSep 10 · 24:25V. Panasenko1.4451190E. Rubtsov2.631113113LSep 9 · 23:25E. Rubtsov2.751181251P. Plakushchyi1.4061114113LSep 9 · 22:25O. Kovalchuk1.83111177113E. Rubtsov1.8345111182LSep 9 · 03:55P. Plakushchyi1.40711311113E. Rubtsov2.7511711792LSep 9 · 02:55O. Kovalchuk1.731111113E. Rubtsov2.007460LSep 9 · 01:25V. Panasenko1.731112113E. Rubtsov2.0051050WSep 8 · 23:25O. Mishchenko1.30111111762E. Rubtsov3.40491311113LSep 8 · 21:25O. Dukhovenko1.061111113E. Rubtsov8.007550LSep 3 · 19:25S. Ponomarenko1.01111112123E. Rubtsov12.008714101
O. Mishchenko10
WSep 10 · 02:55O. Mishchenko2.10117115113P. Plakushchyi1.6761141172LSep 10 · 24:55O. Kovalchuk2.2011911113O. Mishchenko1.61511531WSep 9 · 22:55V. Panasenko1.737127121O. Mishchenko2.00111011143LSep 9 · 21:55V. Kovalenko1.9111611113O. Mishchenko1.80311761WSep 9 · 04:25O. Mishchenko1.5061O. Kovalchuk2.5030LSep 9 · 02:25V. Panasenko1.8311911113O. Mishchenko1.83711961WSep 9 · 24:25O. Dukhovenko1.57111110111O. Mishchenko2.2513912133LSep 8 · 23:25O. Mishchenko1.30111111762E. Rubtsov3.40491311113WSep 8 · 22:25P. Plakushchyi1.7312117101O. Mishchenko2.0014511123WSep 7 · 03:25O. Gavryshko1.404125101O. Mishchenko2.75111011123
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